you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle. Because the Woke do not comprehend anything outside their bubble, they drift uncomprehendingly towards war. Because they do not comprehend anyone outside their bubble, they drift towards a …
Category: war
Condition of the Maidan regime in January 2025
On available data, it looks as during this war, and in the lead up to this war, the Maidan regime recruited and conscripted about two and a half million men. The regime says the current size of its army is nine hundred thousand men under arms, but it looks more like two or three hundred thousand thousand men under arms, because the Russian army has seven hundred thousand men under …
Pete Hegseth gets it, sort of.
A state exists because its army exists. States exist because armies exist. A state needs a faith, and an army needs a faith. There is always a state faith. And starting with Obama, the faith of woke is currently being imposed on the army — a faith incompatible with the army’s core function, which efficiently killing people and breaking things. It is also incompatible with war production, or production of …
How to make peace with Russia
Firstly, America cannot have peace with anyone until it has a sovereign who can say “war with the outgroup” and every member of the ingroup is at war, or imprisoned as a traitor, and can say “peace with the outgroup”, and everyone in the state apparatus is at peace with the outgroup, or gets sent in chains to the outgroup. All our previous living arrangements with India, China, and Russia …
The Russian invasion of the Ukraine is a just war
This post stolen wholesale from this excellent comment According the Christian doctrine of Bellum Iustum, just war, just war requires Jus Ad Bellum, the right to go to war. Jus In Bello, Justice in War. jus post bellum, Just ending of the war. Jus Ad Bellum requires: Auctoritas competens, right authority. You need a sovereign who can make peace or war, and if he says “war” everyone in his ingroup …
Delusion and end of the Ukraine war
If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle. Hello? The west has been succumbing in every battle. A deal should have been made in July 2023 when it …
End Game in Ukraine
War is a test of will and capability. The test has been run. We now know the will and capability of the parties. I have repeatedly predicted that the war will end real soon now, and repeatedly been wrong. My repeated error was to assume that individuals would respond rationally to the situation, once it was revealed. Rational individual behaviour for a Ukrainian who is not yet in the army …
State of the Ukraine war
About eight months ago I said that the Ukraine was starting to crumble, and the war would likely end in summer. Well, summer is over, and the Ukraine still stands, but is now crumbling a whole lot faster. Hat tip Defense Politics Asia: Russia is still fighting a war of attrition, and will probably continue to do so, for whenever they try war of manoeuvre, get hammered. But war of …
War internal and/or external, and/or democide internal
For a very long time I have been predicting war internal and/or external, and/or democide internal for around 2025. Twelve years ago I updated this prediction to sometime around 2026. As yet I see no reason to further modify that prediction, though I have a track record for making predictions on Musk time. We are now a whole lot closer to war external, the imminent fall of Ukraine is likely …
Ukraine still crumbling
Five months ago I said “Ukraine begins to crumble” and said it has about six months or so of men and material left, but cautiously qualified that incautious prediction by adding that I am endlessly surprised by the Ukraine’s ability to scrape up more men and material. Well, it is now crumbling considerably faster, but does not look like it is going to fall in a month. Russia has been …