1908–1914 In 1908, Austria annexed Bosnia and Herzegovina, which was hugely provocative against the Slavs (Russia) and especially against the South Slavs (Serbia) They annexed it from the declining Ottoman Empire, but Serbia felt that they should be the ones to annex it from the Ottomans, and, more importantly Russia felt that Serbia should be ones to annex it, that Bosnia and Herzegovina were slavic, and should have been annexed by slavs. Austria got away with this because Austria and …
Category: war
War and rational choice
It looks like the Ukraine war is going to be fought to its ultimate conclusion. All Ukrainian men who have not managed to escape the regime will die (the regime being composed of men who do not actually think of themselves as Ukrainians) It is never rational to fight a war all the way to its ultimate end. War is a test of will and capability. If both sides knew the other’s will and capability, and both sides were rational, …
Venezuelan conflict
Venezuala is yet another step towards World War III. Venezuela implemented a bunch of utterly catastrophic and self destructive economic policies. Among these was the rational sounding policy of capturing Venezuela’s vast oil wealth which was going abroad, and applying it to the purposes of Venezuelan government. This resulted in the US issuing a bunch of economic sanctions, similar to those applied to Russia, but vastly less extreme. The damage done by those sanctions was probably insignificant compared to the …
Trump’s twenty eight point peace plan
Peace plan proposals appear in italics. My analysis appears in plaintext. The peace plan appears to be confused amalgam of two contradictory peace plans: The European and Ukrainian peace plan that Russia accept defeat and humiliation, and the Russian peace plan that the Ukraine gives up the Donbas for a hundred day truce during which it will hold free and fair elections, electing a government that will likely be a peace government willing to give Russia everything it has been …
The fall of Pokrovsk
I don’t do news of the day, for its meaning is seldom apparent until months or years after it happened, but fall of the Pokrovsk agglomeration (soon to return to is pre 2014 names of Krasnoarmeysk and Mirnograd) indicates that the Ukraine war is much closer to its end than its beginning, and tells us much about the future of warfare. There was no house to house fighting in Krasnoarmeysk. Either there were very few Ukrainian troops, or after weeks …
We cannot live with these people
Charlie Kirk was a normiecon, and a highly effective and influential influencer. So they murdered him and celebrated it. And still do. The left, all of it, is persistently issuing a blood libel against the right, which justifies them murdering us in “self defence”, and instead of disowning leftwing murders (“I oppose all violence” he piously says) repeats the blood libel, justifying leftists’ murders of rightists in the same breath as disowning them. For these people, all of them, disagreement …
Denazifying the Ukraine at Pokrovsk
According the PBS Frontline report, the Russians are dying like flies and losing equipment at a stupendous rate, yet strangely, they have a lot more volunteers and a lot more equipment than they did a year ago, while the Ukrainian army is shrinking dramatically. Odd that. The Pokrovsk agglomeration (Pokrovsk, Rodynske and Myrnohrad) is a city bigger than Bakhmut — remember how long and terrible the battle for Bakhmut was. But on August the fifth the Pokrovsk agglomeration had been …
FBI bypassed for antiterror measures
I should not post on the news of the day, for it is best understood months, years, decades, and usually centuries after it has happened. But every day I have been predicting the uselessness of the FBI for Trump’s anti terror measures. Its command structure is full of lunatics, and Kash Patel does not look capable of addressing this problem. It is not that they are lefter than regular leftists, they are not all that far left, it is that …
Detain the FBI Joint terrorism task force
Officially what has happened is that Trump has repurposed the FBI Joint Terrorism Task force to find Trantifa terrorism instead of straight white male Christian terrorism. For forty years the FBI Joint Terrorism task force has been monomaniacally searching for straight white male Christian terrorists, and over the years as they searched and searched and searched and never found any, they have slowly been getting weirder and weirder and crazier and crazier. This is why FBI shills usually glow in …
The Rubicon crosses Trump
Ever since 2016, we have been telling Trump he has to cross the Rubicon, and he has not crossed it. Yet here we are, on the other side of the Rubicon anyway. For a long time “Sexist”, “Racist”, “Homophobe”, “Fascist”, “Nazi” meant to businessmen that they should do what they are told, or their business will be burned down, their staff beaten up, financial irregularities found in their books, and whatever they are creating will be found in violation of …