For the last ten years or so, every year or so a study has been issued which supposedly confirms the infamous Hockey Stick graph, which supposedly shows the world’s temperature has been pretty constant over the last thousand years or so and then has suddenly started rising in recent decades. Global Warming! Time to Panic!
And each of the these charts supposedly replicates each of the other charts.
For a long time, the data on which these graphs were based was kept secret, but the Royal Society finally found its missing testicles, after what I considered unreasonable delay, and demanded that the data be released.
It turns out that they all replicate each other, because they each rely on the same ten trees, the evidence of twentieth century warming being that one of these ten grew unusually rapidly during the twentieth century as compared to fossil trees of the same type from the same area. These trees were selected by Bricca from a much larger population of trees in the same area.
The larger population of trees, taken as a whole, shows much the same growth pattern as the fossil trees.
Take out one tree from those ten, Yamal06, and most of the evidence for climate change vanishes. Restore the much larger set of trees from which the ten trees were selected, and all of the evidence for climate change vanishes.
Take out one tree from half a dozen graphs of global warming in near a dozen papers, and suddenly they do not show global warming any more.
Bricca has, at this time, not yet explained why those ten trees, and not others from the same survey and same area. And whatever his explanation, ten trees is not enough.
Clearest explanation so far.
— We should be more concerned about Global Warming and Climate Change because Typhoons are getting much stronger and there are greater incidence of Flooding. take for example the recent Typhoon Ketsana which devastated some countries in South East Asia.
Tacnet:
No they are not. If there is any change, they are getting weaker. The claim that they are getting stronger is just a politically correct lie.
Global hurricane activity has decreased to the lowest level in 30 years.
but we’ve seen uncertain things here in the philippines that we may say very odd, like the flooding ( worst in philippine history ) as of this writing WATER haven’t drained. setting aside politics! which side should we believe? your side? or theirs?
There is always exceptional weather, because weather has so many ways and so many places it can be exceptional in.
[…] In the past, I ridiculed the Royal Society for backing away from “Nullius in Verba†in its efforts to accommodate postmodern science – however, I recently learned that the president of the Royal Society, Bob May, that was responsible for retranslating that into something more politically correct and respectful of the consensus of the synod, is no longer president of the Royal society – which may have something to do with the the Royal Society eventually finding its testicles […]
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