Author: Jim

party politics

Defund the left

The reason the battle in Wisconsin is so bitter is that the Wisconsin Republicans are doing what Reagan attempted to do and failed to do: Defund the left. Previously schools were required to buy health insurance through the teachers union. Being free to shop around for health insurance appears to save over half a million …

economics

More fake violence in Greece

A little of the violence is real, indeed more and more of it is real, but the vast majority of it is still imitation violence by astroturf, which I conjecture is imitation riot theater instigated by the government against itself to dramatize its imitation austerity theater. Observe the trash fires at 0:14. Real rioters burn …

economics

You can’t trust bankers

“You can’t trust bankers” says Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of “The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable” Taleb is an econometrician and trader – meaning he makes his money betting on financial instruments, like a professional poker player.

economics

real inflation

There is precision, and there is accuracy. It is unwise to attain more precision than accuracy, for one is apt to fool oneself, and worse still to attain precision at the cost of accuracy. You cannot measure inflation on goods that are changing, without making questionable subjective judgements. Goods that are not changing are stuff …

economics

billion prices inflation estimate

The billion prices project spiders prices off the internet, and gets results broadly similar to the BLS, about thee percent per year, which surprises me, since  over the last three years the BLS has been applying “hedonic adjustments” to all manner of goods where hedonic adjustment is impossible or implausible.  Today’s supposedly three percent inflation …

economics

Philips curve, stimulus

If stimulus works, if Keynesianism is a good enough approximation to the modern American economy, there should be a relationship between unemployment and inflation, the Philips curve.  Higher unemployment should lead to lower inflation, and vice versa. There is no relationship.