This blog is going down

December 16th, 2020

This blog, and the associated email addresses are going away until it becomes apparent which way the wind blows.

I am going to sell the domain name.

When it becomes apparent which way the wind blows, a similar blog, with all the original content and comments, will re-open on a less valuable domain name in a safer administration.

Bets on the outcome of current events should be settled in 2020 january 21 with ushwx@protonmail.ch
gpg fingerprint: 0D6ABF58AA31AF9594E70E4673E4BC62E92B87D7

The blog will go into maintenance mode in due course. If things go well, it should start redirecting to a domain with a cheaper domain name on which the blog is no longer in maintenance mode. If things go badly, I am pursuing a course of action based on blockchains and cryptography, while waiting for a Sulla, a Cromwell, or a Stalin. If a Cromwell or a Stalin, I will prepare the way for a General Monck or a Putin.

Whether this domain name will start redirecting to a new domain name depends on my judgment of events. A new blog with all the original content will probably open somewhere, but you may have to discover it.

Normality bias

December 13th, 2020

In the year fifty eight years before Christ in Rome it became obvious that elections were rigged. Courts and due process had ended in the sense that some political violence went unpunished, and attempting to defend oneself against political violence was the gravest of crimes, in the sense that political disagreement was a crime, as Roger Stone and Sheriff Joe recently discovered, while political violence was not, as those who cheerfully had themselves videoed while attempting to murder Kyle in Kenosha demonstrated.

And yet, not until shortly after the assassination of Caesar, fourteen years later did people adjust to the new reality. And Caesar himself did not adjust to the new reality. Before he crossed the Rubicon, he made an offer and attempted a strategy which would only have made sense if legality and free and fair elections were still in effect, though had not been in the slightest effect for seven years.

Similarly the French and Russian Revolutions, though reality set in faster in those cases. When Napoleon took power, ten years after the revolution, he had to lecture those that his soldiers dismissed that they were appealing to a reality that no longer existed and they themselves had destroyed ten years ago.

I fear that Trump, suffering from incurable optimism, will attempt such a strategy, as Caesar did. It is likely to prove as fatal for him as for Caesar.

That Caesar allowed himself to be in a position where he could be assassinated shows he was still suffering from normality bias, and the immediately following the assassination, the assassins demonstrated massive normality bias, believing that with Caesar dead, the old normality would spontaneously return. When normality failed to return, Romans only then finally realized it was dead and not easily resurrected.

And when Napoleon finally declared himself Emperor, we see a fair bit of outrage from those who imagined that the old normality was still in effect, even though it had abruptly ended in the French Revolution fifteen years earlier.

If Trump thinks he can run again in 2024, he is terribly mistaken. He will be in prison by then, and very likely dead by then.

Time to cross the Rubicon

December 12th, 2020

It becomes apparent that no court, including the supposedly conservative majority supreme court, is willing to look at the decisive and overwhelming evidence that the election was stolen.

Trump is going to have to proclaim the Insurrection Act under article four of the constitution, for which he is going to need a general, perhaps General Flynn, who has already called upon him to proclaim the Insurrection act.

Trump is likely to need to call out the militia.

If he fails to do this, he will go from the White House to prison, and so will his family.

If he goes quietly to prison, the proverbial will continue to hit the fan, as the assorted puppet masters of Biden and AOC fight over the puppet strings, and eventually he will, like King Louis and Romanovs, become to dangerous to live.

If Trump goes quietly to prison, then with the pretense of democracy and due process abandoned, there is no way for the swamp to resolve its internal conflicts, and so they will escalate as in the fall of the Roman Republic, when it abandoned due process and honest elections.

History tells us that if we do not get civil war before January 20th, we will get it by 2026, under conditions far less favorable.

The fall of the Republic

November 26th, 2020

Today in America it is the year in Rome fifty eight years before Christ. We are here. The mob is on the streets, which the courts decline to put down, courts and legal processes of the Republic politicized and defunct, carrying out political vengeance and refusing to enforce law, elections blatantly fraudulent and discredited.

Caesar crossing the Rubicon was the culmination of more Rubicons than you can shake a stick at. Before Caesar crossed the Rubicon, Clodius and Pompey crossed the Pomerium.

And before they crossed the Pomerium, Rome had the grossly dysfunctional courts, the undue process, and the rigged elections, that we have right now.

Soros and Hunter Biden are Clodius. Trump is Pompey, Cato, and Cicero. The Insurrection Act is the Senatus Consultum Ultimum.

When Pompey crossed the Pomerium fifty two years before Christ, he rolled up the useless, cowardly, weak, and undisciplined mob, and enforced order without mucking around with the useless and discredited courts.

But, since Pompey was an idiot, he then stepped down from the job of dictator, expecting normalcy to return. It did not. And everyone else acted like idiots also. Seeing order return, they thought that democracy, legality, and due process had returned, though obviously it had not.

Order seemingly restored by Pompey’s dictatorship and the Senatus Consultum Ultimum, Rome went on a conquest binge, dropping the pretext of self defense, and pissing off all its neighbors. One of its neighbors, the Parthians, revealed that they had been advancing the art and technology of war, while Rome had been quietly regressing. But the Parthians were content to grossly humiliate Rome, and merely returned their borders to where they were legally supposed to be, though there was absolutely nothing to stop them from rolling up the the entire eastern empire, and perhaps Rome itself. They still had and observed the legality that Rome had abandoned.

Eight years later, forty nine years before Christ, massive abuse of the courts and lack of legality forced Caesar to, with extraordinary reluctance, cross the Rubicon, after several years where legality was not in effect, but people still deluded acted as if it was. And finally, belatedly, remarkably belatedly, people after the assassination of Caesar recognized that legality, due process, courts, laws, fair trials, and free elections are finally gone and are not coming back any time soon.

Political violence continues to grow, eventually resulting in total war, immensely destructive civil war carried out by extraordinary and unprecedented measures.

After eighteen years of ever escalating chaos and ever more massive and extraordinary bloodshed, after a civil war that turned total, Caesar’s adopted son, Augustus, made himself dictator, but having learned from Pompey’s error, did not step down from the job expecting normalcy to return.

Legality, due process, free elections, and peaceful transfer of power, once lost, are hard to restore.

But despite the imperium, the swamp went on being swampy, the state religion went on being hostile, legality did not return. And things stayed like that for two and half centuries, till Constantine built a new capital, and made a new religion the state religion.

My hope is that our Pompey will be our Constantine, that we do a fast forward over Rome’s centuries of war and ruin.

Where we are, and where we are going

November 23rd, 2020

This blog has never been in the business of covering today’s news, but rather of covering the long sweep of history, and putting today’s news in the long sweep of history.

And today’s news amounts to the fact that we are not going to get a good look at the ballots printed at midnight after the voting finished until and unless Trump proclaims the Insurrection Act:

The President, by using the militia or the armed forces, or both, or by any other means, shall take such measures as he considers necessary to suppress, in a State, any insurrection, domestic violence, unlawful combination, or conspiracy, if it-

so hinders the execution of the laws of that State, and of the United States within the State, that any part or class of its people is deprived of a right, privilege, immunity, or protection named in the Constitution and secured by law, and the constituted authorities of that State are unable, fail, or refuse to protect that right, privilege, or immunity, or to give that protection; or

opposes or obstructs the execution of the laws of the United States or impedes the course of justice under those laws.

We have a conspiracy hindering the execution of the laws of numerous State, and of the United States within those States. And the conspirators need to be detained, preferably in Alaska as far from Washington as possible, by using the militia or the armed forces, or both, or by any other means, and questioned, by military intelligence and loyalist federal cops.

And now, back to the long sweep of history.

A King creates a virtuous elite, as King Alfred the Great and Charles the Second did. A virtuous elite, having internal cohesion and trust, is quite capable of running the country without much Kingly supervision, and the King is apt to be quite content to focus on fornication, partying, and hunting, so the Kingdom gradually becomes a Republic, at first de-facto, and eventually in name and truth.

But a Republic lacks effectual means of dealing with misconduct in the elite, so cooperation and trust in the elite breaks down. They turn to the masses to resolve their internal conflicts, and the Republic becomes a democracy. As evil flourishes, and cooperation continues to break down, it eventually comes to pass that the stakes on the table are too high, so the Republic, or the Democratic Republic, dies.

Democracy requires a level of trust and comity between the parties that no longer exists.

The loser has to believe that loss will not be total, permanent, and result in his destruction.

Because the Democrats have been indulged by law enforcement for a long time, they have committed all manner of crimes, and will go to jail if law enforcement is done in an impartial manner.

Because law enforcement is not done in an impartial manner, the Republicans will go to jail if it is not fixed. If Republicans lose power now, they are permanently and irreversibly out of power, and many of them will wind up in prison or worse. Paul Rand times ten thousand, because the man who attempted to murder Kyle on video is free as a bird.

Caesar became an enemy of the Republic by crossing the Rubicon, but he had to cross the Rubicon because otherwise would have been charged and convicted of no end of political offenses.

However this thing ends, one side or the other is going to jail, and if it ends with Trump out of power, Trump’s family will eventually be executed. Initially they will only be imprisoned, but as $#!% continues to hit the fan, they will eventually, like the Romanovs and the family of Louis XVI, become too dangerous to live.

Fixing law enforcement is going to require proclaiming the Insurrection act, and it may well become necessary to call out the unorganized militia and organize it. Nothing less is likely to suffice.

Too much is on the table for democracy to continue, and it has not continued. To restore a genuine Republic requires the creation of a well behaved elite. It will take at least a century, even if we start right away.

Trying to fix ballot counting requires sending a pile of people to prison, which ups the stakes even further. There is no way to bring the stakes down to something consistent with a Republic, because our elite is corrupt, degenerate, and decadent. You have to create a new, virtuous, elite. Start by purging Harvard, or leveling it to the ground and building a new Harvard, a Harvard run by men who are married, God fearing, Christian, and have well behaved children. (Or, in the case of India, gods fearing.) The battle of Waterloo was won on the playing fields of Eton. We are going to need a Caesar Augustus, and Caesar Augustus is going to need, like Constantine, a state religion that works to produce a virtuous elite.

Caesar’s problem was that all the genuinely virtuous gods fearing people were on the side of the Republic. He had only bad people. And the problem that all the genuinely virtuous gods fearing people had is that they were on the side of a Republic that had died a long time previously. Don’t do what they did. Trying to fix harvesting and registration is doing what they did. You cannot do it unless you purge or dismiss the the three letter agencies, and if you purge or dismiss the three letter agencies, the existing Democrat organization is going to jail.

Marius failed because he upped the stakes so far that the Roman Republic could not continue. Sulla’s problem was that he restored a dead Republic. Caesar’s problem was that he was an enemy of the (undead) Republic and had only bad people around him. Augustus Caesar succeeded because he “restored” the Republic – but made sure the fact that it was dead was not a problem.

But Augustus Caesar had a problem in that insofar as he had a live state religion, he had a hostile state religion. He tried emperor worship, the equivalent of Deng Xiaoping theory, but nothing worked until Constantine adopted Christianity as the state religion. Constantine also built a new capital far from the swamp.

What Putin is doing, making Russian Orthodoxy the state religion, is working. What Deng Xiaoping did looks like it is sort of working so far, but, like Augustus Caesar’s emperor worship, obviously fragile. Deng Xiaoping theory is “learn truth from facts”, which is a mighty good start, the main fact from which they learned truth being that socialism does not work, but the since the state religion is incarnated in the head of state, the facts are what the party says they are.

Charles the second instituted the rule “Nullius in verba”, which obligates you to check stuff for yourself, or at least identify the person who checked stuff himself and listen to what he said, rather than what someone else says he said. I walked in the footsteps of Leonardo da Vinci and Lyell, and I myself verified with my own pickaxe and my own eyes that the Earth is immensely old, not because I had any doubt that I would see what they saw, but because I was raised to believe that one had a moral obligation to use primary sources or, better, much better, one’s own observations, that the Wikipedia style reliance on highly derived sources is not merely unwise, but wicked.

The Republic died at 2020-11-04T04-05

November 6th, 2020

It is a new world now, new rules.

The Democrats have been committing electoral fraud for years, but now it is grand scale, out in the open, and for the highest stakes of all.

If they win, Trump and his family dies. If Trump wins, they go to jail.

If the state agencies of violence and propaganda install their puppets, Biden and Kamala in the White House, they will soon be killing each other. No Republicans will win any election anywhere, because mass fraud will now be legal, and those conducting it will be backed by the state agencies of violence, while Republican election observers will be deemed far right, beaten up and imprisoned.

Why does treason never prosper? Because if it prospers, none dare call it treason.

If Trump wins, he will win in the name of the Old Republic, and will say, and probably honestly believe, he is restoring the Old Republic, and will likely do his best to do so.

But the tide of history has him its grasp. If he wins, he will be Caesar Augustus (who also said, and likely believed, he was restoring the old republic). Seemingly normal elections will continue, and will continue for centuries as they continued after Caesar Augustus, but they will matter as much as they mattered under Caesar Augustus.

If Trump loses, he and his family are going to die like the Romanovs and Louis XIV. They will not be killed immediately, but will be arrested like the Romanovs and the French aristocracy, and when the winners start figuring out who is in charge, their continued existence will be deemed too dangerous. If they flee to somewhere outside the American Hegemony, they may be ignored, though they may be assassinated.

Notice that the French aristocracy deserted royalty en-masse to join the winners, but got executed anyway. When civil war broke out, the revolutionaries decided that the continued survival of anyone who had been connected to the old regime, even Lavoisier, was far too dangerous.

If Trump wins, he will find, as Caesar Augustus found, that what is necessary to rule in the new regime tends to conflict with what would be necessary to perform necromancy on the corpse of the dead republic, in whose name he governs.

If Trump loses, all traces of the old republic will be swiftly erased, as they were in Venezuela, as contaminated by racism and sexism.

A republic can only exist with a virtuous elite. Our elite now selects for dishonor, because they require point deer, make horse, 指鹿为马, of all applicants.

To restore the Republic for real, we will need an emperor who, like Charles the Second and King Alfred, selects for honor and virtue. It will take centuries. The battle of Waterloo was won on the playing fields of Eton, but in 1832, Eton changed.

As I predicted, Trump wins, Democrats steal

November 4th, 2020

Trump has correctly announced he has won, and the Democrats are stealing it.

Currently on you tube. Make a copy, because likely to disappear.

Trump:

“We won’t stand for it” “We Did Win This Election,” “This Is A Major Fraud On Our Nation”

Trump’s victory was well beyond the margin of fraud, but as I have stated many times, there is no margin of fraud.

There is, however, a margin of plausible deniability, and this fraud is beyond the margin of plausible deniability.

Well, Trump goes to the supremes. And we shall see what happens.

The best outcome that might happen is: Trump wins in the supremes. The supremes are ignored. Trump reads the insurrection act. The generals disobey him. At some point, if all goes as well as it could, he calls out the militia.

If the supremes buckle, we are in trouble.

If Trump wins in the supreme court, he will initially attempt to enforce the outcome with loyalist cops. He may win with loyalist cops, but the militia are likely to be needed.

Pay no attention to the blackpillers who will say there are no loyalist cops. Trump has repeatedly demonstrated he has plenty of loyalist cops, and they have the advantage of unity of command. But things are likely to escalate from there.

In the color revolution script, the threat or actuality of US air force bombing is applied against loyalist elements of the state apparatus of coercion. In the US itself, this command may not be obeyed, which may put color revolutionary forces at a severe disadvantage.

The Trump landslide

November 3rd, 2020

Tonight, the map will be red.

Which the press, to the extent they cover it at all, will denounce as “The red mirage”. Much as Biden’s laptop was Russian disinfo.

What happens then?

The Democrats have long known there would be a Trump landslide. Their plan was to stall for time, and then run a coup, denouncing Trump’s efforts to prevent them from endlessly manufacturing ballots of unknown provenance and unknown chain of custody as “voter suppression”, declaring that they are defending the sanctity of ever American’s right to vote.

Stalling for time, however, is likely to be more embarrassing than expected. The Trump supremes are feeling their balls and are now pre-emptively shooting down stalling efforts. The Democrats will denounce the supreme court, and may attempt to continue counting freshly minted votes. Which may well result in no electoral college, or two electoral colleges.

If there is an oversupply of electoral colleges, and the House and the Senate fail to agree on which one is legitimate, then the Vice President gets to call it, so the plan was to hold a coup, under cover of mass riot theater, before the Vice President calls it.

An attempted coup is likely to turn into a civil war, as color revolutions so often do, and if it does, they will surely lose. As the Democratic plan lurches into view, I am seeing lots of cold feet on the left.

The fundamental attraction of leftism is “We are the winning side, we have been knocking over apple carts for two centuries, join us, and you get lots of apples”.

Almost immediately after Trump’s 2016 election, the supply of apples rolling around on the ground to be scooped up diminished markedly. A red map is a distinct hint that the current shortage of apples rolling around on the ground is likely to get a great deal worse.

The universities have been massively overproducing would-be members of the elite. Generally stupid people trained in stupidity.

As affirmative action intruded into every academic discipline, academic standards were abandoned in every discipline. Since all they were trained in is hating white males, we saw the massive manufacture of millions of jobs in hating white males, for example a Debian with a keen interest in social justice and no interest or ability to make Debian work, a Free Software foundation with a keen interest in social justice and little interest in free software, a Marvel Comics full of writers and artists with no writing or artistic ability.

What happened is that every academic discipline had to make its affirmative action quota, so could not continue teaching academic stuff, so instead taught social justice, resulting in a flood of stupid useless people with elite degrees from elite universities in every discipline, and pressure was applied through human resources to hire them.

The whole damned lot, a substantial majority of the younger elite, needs to be fired and put to work doing something that is within their competence, such as greeter at Walmart or barista at Starbucks.

And they know it.

Trump did not end the massive expansion of this career path, but merely slowing its expansion substantially, which started to bite in 2016, is having major impact. His recent executive order on critical race theory caused not merely a slowing of the expansion, but actual loss of jobs.

By and large Antifa, to the extent that they have jobs at all, work for the federal government, the quasi state sector, and in social justice activities of nominally private organizations that have turned into social justice skin suits.

And, as we recently saw with Marvel Comics, organizations taken over by social justice are starting to shrink. A red map is going to be a signal that a great deal more shrinkage is coming. Trump was making this point when he recently dumped on the NBA.

But, as with Pinochet’s Chile and Franco’s Spain, any victory while the enemy is still entrenched in the Judiciary, the media, and academia is merely temporary, just a breathing space.

If we merely get a breathing space before the civil war, it may well wind up eventually being fought under conditions far less favorable.

A peaceful or relatively peaceful outcome of this election still leaves us with armed hijackers in the cockpit, and plane headed straight to the ground, even though we will will have our pilot at the controls. For victory to stick, the universities and the courts will have to be cut down to size.

If we win this election, whether peacefully through our enemies conceding to the American voters, or by civil war, it will not do us much good in the long run unless that victory is used for and followed up by a decisive attack on the spy agencies, the FBI, the DoJ, the media, the internet monopolies, the schools, academia, and the judiciary.

That is a big swamp to drain. Constantine gave up on draining it, built a new Rome, and let the old Rome wither on the vine. We may well need to build new institutions, and ensure that the old institutions wither away. Time to rebuild Jerusalem.

Coup

October 30th, 2020

If a tree falls in the forest, and media fail to report it, did it make a sound?

If Trump gets a landslide vote, and the media fail to report it, did he win?

Early voting is, predictably, a Trump landslide, and the media are failing to report it.

This is the color revolution script – which is usually based on electoral victory being declared by the media for the Cathedral preferred candidate, followed by the physical removal of the man who won the election.

Color revolution requires and is based on tight discipline and central command – which America’s enemies conspicuously lack. Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are place holders whose replacement is not yet agreed.

It also requires the threat, and sometimes the actuality, of bombing by the US air force. Which orders are not guaranteed to be obeyed.

The riots will be theater, as the voting is theater. The real action is going on behind the scenes. Trump is lawyering up. I hope he is arming up.

If Trump lives through this election, he will be Caesar Augustus, whether he likes it or not. He probably will not like it. His faith is old type progressivism, as it was back in the days when it still sometimes sported a thin veneer of patriotism and Christianity.

If he lives through this election, his first order of business will be taking control of the public service, starting with the instruments of coercion, the FBI and DoJ. Sherk has laid out a game plan for the president to take control of the presidency. Most of document reads like a boring cuckservative wish list, but buried here and there deep within the document are blocks of C4. Buried deep inside a not very exciting document, and padded with pious blandness, a proposal for a Trump autocoup against the permanent government: section four of “Government that serves the people”.

Trump, while his enemies are distracted by election noise, is moving to implement section four, in his Executive Order on Creating Schedule F In The Excepted Service, a document as deliberately bland and boring as Sherk’s document. With strangely swift obedience, the Office of Personnel and Management issued Instructions on Implementing Schedule F, a marginally less boring document. But while the content of the document is not terribly exciting, the fact that it came out with lightning speed indicates that its superficially bland contents are several large packets of C4 hurled in the general direction of the federal bureaucracy.

Well, that is like Biden’s laptop. Will it have effect?

If “Instructions on Implementing Schedule F” take effect, the ensuring fire under the FBI’s chairs is going to ensure that Biden’s laptop will take effect.

Since it seems that some of my readers are still getting their reality from the mainstream media, a short recap on Biden’s laptop:

Joe Biden’s family used Hunter Biden and Jim Biden as go between to collect bribes from foreign leaders.

Unfortunately for them Hunter Biden is not really the man you want for matters requiring discretion and prudence. He is crackhead who uploaded pornographic images of himself and his niece onto Pornhub. He water damaged his laptop, took it to a repairshop in person, and then forgot about it (probably too high on crack) It eventually became the property of the repairman, who found no end of interesting stuff, including the details of the Biden family’s dealings with foreign governments and images of Hunter Biden having fun with crack and naked women, among them some of the images that wound up on Pornhub.

The deal with China is that while Vice President Joe Biden was negotiating a trade deal with China, a deal which turned out to be strangely bad for America and good for China, the Biden family, Joe Biden, Hunter Biden and Jim Biden, cut a deal with a Chinese agent who was at the time under surveillance, wherein they each got ten million. Then the Bidens cut Tony Bobulinsky out of the deal. Pissed by this illegal act, he ratted them out to the FBI, who of course ignored him.

He then went on television (Fox News Exclusive Conversation with Hunter’s Ex-associate) and confirmed many of the hottest Hunter Biden emails, plus he told us of his meetings with Vice President Joe Biden on the business, plus, he has a huge pile of business records, currently in the possession of Fox News.

Now Fox News is mighty cucked these days, so depending on which party comes out on top in the coup, those documents and Bobulinsky himself might disappear – much as the Trump landslide is being disappeared.

Democratic landslide victory to be announced November third

October 18th, 2020

Rallies