Back again

February 16th, 2021

My blog has been down for a while – the perils of being your own system administrator.

Because of political events, I have moved the blog onto a server physically located on the boundary between the US empire and the Chinese hegemony, in a country that piously proclaims fealty to both, and tends to be left alone by both.

(Which means we are now being spied on by twice as many people, but they will probably forget about shutting me down and all that.)

While I can blame lots of other people for lots of things that went wrong in the move, the chief errors were my own.

Where we go from here

January 23rd, 2021

Electoral politics is dead, though its corpse will continue to be paraded about for a considerable time. It will not be revived for a very long time, for a live Republic requires a virtuous elite, and creating a virtuous elite is a project that requires a virtuous King, and a few generations.

I hoped and prayed that Trump would retain power – either as president, or as leader of the resistance, and I lost several bets that he would. Also my investments were to some extent premised on him retaining power.

On the other hand, I have also been making preparation for a more complete disappearance, and so far, it looks like that may not be needed for a while.

I have for decades predicted war, democide, or genocide around 2026 or so, and have never shifted in that prediction. On the whole, things seem to be moving as expected, at about the rate expected. Trump retaining power might have eventually caused me to change that prediction, but a lot more would have had to happen following him retaining power for me to change that prediction. It took Augustus Caesar a decade or so after becoming dictator to sort things out in Rome, and he had death squads and an army at his back. Had Trump successfully performed the coup or started the civil war that I expected, it would have been only the small beginning of what is needed to reverse the decline.

When a holiness spiral goes this far, it takes a lot to stop it. And the further it goes, the more it takes. And even after it is stopped, you still have a big problem, as Sulla had a big problem, and Augustus Caesar continued to have big problems, because you have a degenerate elite, as Russia had after communism collapsed.

I am not necessarily predicting armed conflict in 2026 or so to be the end of our troubles – it could well be the beginning of the end of our troubles, but it could be the beginning of even greater unpleasantness to come, the start of a long dark age for the white race, which is likely to be a long dark age for all races.

Trump is delusionally attempting to appease his enemies. He should be running away. A Trump restoration could only happen after the pattern of the Rwandan genocide, when the exiles returned to conquer a grotesquely dysfunctional and murderous government. And, on January the sixth, Trump revealed himself as not the man for that. He could still become the man for that, but every time he opens his mouth, this looks less and less likely.

In the near future, we can expect the deep state to struggle with the radical left for power. (The Republican party will lose all relevance) Everyone, including the radical left expects the deep state to win and restore normality, but this is normalcy bias. The establishment left lacks cohesion, so each member of the establishment left will try to make his own deal with the radical left at the expense of the rest of the establishment left.

We are now in a situation paralleling the overthrow of Czar and the overthrow of King Louis the sixteenth. The deep state expected to continue governing Russia and France, without the inconvenience of a King bothering them, but was soon in for a big surprise.

Everyone in the deep state thinks that with the democratically elected president out of the way, they will be running the country, but there are far too many of them, they are all going to cut a deal with the radical left, and they are all going to find themselves with the short end of the stick in their deals.

Eventually the leftism spiral will be ended by a Napoleon or a Stalin. If we are lucky a Cromwell. Then leftism will slowly empty out for lack of new applecarts to knock over. At which point an alternative religion will gain mass traction. And that new religion will need to ready itself for eventually becoming the state religion, as progressivism is now the state religion.

The time for electoral politics is over, and the time for an alternative mass religion is not yet. It will likely take quite some time before our enemies have finished destroying each other, so what do we do in preparation for our enemies to destroy each other?

We preserve the truth of Gnon in preparation for the day where it is possible to compete with the state religion, which will become possible only after it empties out of genuine zeal and faith, which is not going to happen until a Stalin restrains it from knocking over any more applecarts, or all applecarts are utterly destroyed.

The time for an advocacy movement is not yet. We are an analysis movement – Trumpism was an advocacy movement, and I had high hopes, but it was crushed, and anything slightly resembling it will be crushed harder.

The time for advocacy will be when leftism empties out, which is not going to happen with applecarts falling over everywhere.

Our key issue is patriarchy, and each of us should promote it at the individual level, by being alpha in our interactions with women, and by telling our women that this is God’s will, and by approving or disapproving of individual associates according to whether their conduct undermines or supports their family and our own.

Some time ago I was at a party, and my host had failed his wife’s shit test, and was angry and despondent. I said “Why don’t you just tell her to do it your way”, to which he despondently replied that it was over and settled. “It is done”. He is blue pilled, and I doubt a lecture on Game, Game Theory, Evolutionary Game Theory, and Evolutionary Psychology would have gone down well, even had I been sober enough to give it, and he sober enough to understand it, which we probably were not. So I just said “A man should be King under his own roof”, and moved on, letting the matter drop. A few minutes thereafter, he passed the shit test with flying colors, his wife eager to please. Perhaps it was that I simply simply rejected the false and evil morality that was poisoning his will and this gave him the strength to do what was right. The left pretends that everyone agrees with their anger and lies, and people believe it, believe that everyone agrees, because no public doubt is permitted, but if one man does what is right, good, and true, and will say to his friends that it is right, good, and true, people that are hurting from the conflict between leftism and reality can feel it in their hearts.

The state has so many evil laws, that it is generally unable to enforce them against those who live according to the will of Gnon, and are confident in the righteousness of so doing.

Leftism is getting brittle, because the ever greater gap between leftist doctrine and people’s lived experience is hurting people. But the child who cries the that emperor has no clothes is not going to cause leftism to fall over as long as fresh applecarts remain for leftism to knock over. It is not public advocacy time yet.

We also need to address the namefag problem and the destruction of the market economy using cryptographic means. Bitcoin was huge step in the direction of fixing the market economy, making possible transactions that are increasingly obstructed by laws and regulation.

There were many attempts on cypherpunks to address the increasing dysfunction of money and accounting. They failed until Satoshi created bitcoin. Digital gold failed because the government simply seized the backing. Bitcoin was successful, but it is a prototype that is prematurely being used as the final system.

We need to build the technology for a semi underground market economy and name system. Satoshi’s blockchain, namecoin’s blockchain, and the Jitsi name system are prototypes for what is needed.

Nothing that matters has changed in social technology, with the big and important exception of double entry accounting and corporate form that it made possible.

I expect that the blockchain and triple entry cryptographically signed accounting will also make an advance in social technology possible, changes that the ICO prefigures, but right now our problems are with social technology that has not advanced since the time of Greece and Rome. Building the things that make new social technologies possible are a step towards the recovery of old social technologies.

When the time is ripe, we will need to reboot systems that are very old, and have been broken. At the same time, while waiting for the conditions that will make a reboot possible, we need to work on the social technologies of the future. Which is corporations as sidechains on the blockchain, for these technologies will make it possible to preserve truth, technology, and the market economic order through what may be well be a very long dark age.

We preserver reality, truth, and respect for Gnon, and attempt to preserve the market economy underground.

We are in an environment that is not only hostile to the vast majority of men having sex, and hostile to all men having children, but also hostile to the market economy. Vox Day’s corporate cancer is devouring the market economy. Corporations are being repurposed from producing value to producing holiness.

We are now using white designed but East Asian built cpus, because corporate cancer has devoured our fabs, and are likely to soon be using Chinese designed CPUs. People are starting to use the Exynos SoC, which is a Samsung design built in a Samsung fab for a Samsung built and designed CPU, and the Media Tec chips, which are designed and built in Taiwan. If I was building a home security system today, it would be running on Taiwanese designed and built CPUs and SoCs.

White people lost the fabs to corporate cancer, and are starting to lose the software, chip design and chip architecture. To resist this trend while the very holy progressives are still in charge of the state religion, we need separation of information and state – which is part of the same program as the faith of Gnon, for the faith of Gnon requires us to protect the truth from a state and state religion that is hostile to truth.

While our ultimate goal is a state and state religion that enforces truth and truthfulness, as Charles the Second’s men at arms protected the Royal Society from Puritan attempts to forcibly deplatform them, for the duration our goal is agorist, to build social media platforms, economic platforms and market platforms that are not state controlled, as the Royal Society existed underground during puritan rule as the Invisible College. Agorism has no answer to large scale organized violence, and neither did the Invisible College, but after the Restoration, the Invisible College became the state sponsored Royal Society.

I may be blogging less for a while, because I am working on the design document of a very large project, and a very small foundation stone of actual software for that project.

Now we are in trouble

January 7th, 2021

It is not over till the fat lady sings on January 20th, but things do not look good.

We inevitably lost because our people did not have legitimate authority to use lethal force, and the other side did.

In order to grant our people legitimate authority to use lethal force, Trump needs to proclaim the insurrection act and call out the militia. I was hoping that yesterday would provide a good occasion for that, though it needed to be done earlier. General Flynn should have had an appointment to organize the unorganized militia several weeks ago.

The battle was lost for lack of a leader with plausibly legitimate authority.

Well, Trump did not, and it looks like from here on, such a proclamation becomes more and more difficult and less and less likely.

I was very much hoping and praying that civil war would start early, because in a left singularity, the earlier you get the inevitable civil war, the more likely the right is to win.

However I have long predicted civil war or catastrophic international war, or genocide, around 2026 or so. That prediction still looks on target.

Leftism will inevitably implode, it always does. Trees do not grow to the sky, but they grow till they fall over. And the further leftism goes before it self destructs, the greater the collateral damage.

We are likely in for quite a lot of collateral damage before the light dawns.

If, as is likely, everything goes to hell in a handbasket, I will focus on building a counter economy and counter society on the blockchain. To preserve the economy against pillage, and the truth against lies, we will need to deploy cryptographic methods.

Bitcoin is deeply flawed. Posts on this topic coming when the fat lady sings.

Election fraud hearings

January 6th, 2021

I normally do not comment on current events, because in the long run, they seldom matter. What is important is the long term direction, which can only be seen by looking backwards, usually a very long way backwards.

But, today, a crisis point comes that will make a great difference.

If Pence carries out his promise to hear the evidence of election fraud, if he is able to carry out his promise to hear the evidence of election fraud, it is likely that the left will respond violently with the quiet or direct backing of the deep state.

At which point, if Trump proclaims the insurrection act, we will probably win. If he fails to proclaim the insurrection act, we will probably lose, and it will be profoundly unsafe to dispute the supposed consensus that election fraud did not significantly affect the election outcome, and that we still have democratic elections and judicial due process as normal.

If we win this one, it is not over, it is only beginning. It is merely Pompey crossing Pomerium, the start of the $%!% becoming obvious. Trump will still be facing a hostile deep state, a hostile civil service, an a hostile judiciary, and Harvard will still rule the provinces of the American empire. But Trump will be in a far better position to deal with them, and we will be in a far better position to deal with them.

If we lose, the way forward is an underground counter society built on blockchain technology, with Jitsi, bitcoin, and namecoin as unsatisfactory prototypes that show the way forward. We will need to first adequately fix the namefag problem, in order to genuinely fix the currency traceability problem.

If we win this one, eventually Trump, or the next member of his dynasty, is going to need to do something about the hostile state religion, and above ground operations in preparation for this have potential for success.

Although this day is critical, the outcome, regardless of what happens today, will likely not be apparent till January 21. The deep state wants everything to seem normal till they inaugurate Biden. Maybe they will succeed, but likely the ride will be rougher than they planned.

I am back

December 23rd, 2020

If you have problems viewing this site or commenting, clear your browser caches (except for passwords and such)

Some browsers cached messed up data during the transition.

I am feeling optimistic about my safety, because I have taken some additional precautions, and the move seems to have taken me off the radar. About America, not so much.

After the Republic died in Rome, it took a long time for a new political order capable of cohesive action to appear, and even after Caesar Augustus took power, it took him twelve years to get things in some sort of order.

Elections and due process have gone down, and most of the civil service is in similar shape.

Sulla restored the Republic the only way it could be restored, at swordpoint with considerable slaughter.

The restoration lasted twenty one years, then the Republic died again of the same causes.

But for fourteen years after it died, until shortly after the assassination of Caesar, everyone acted as if the dead Republic was still alive, as if due process and free elections were still in effect.

Frequently with fatal consequences.

The politically correct story of the Roman Republic is that it died of ambitious generals with troops personally loyal to their general.

This just is not true. There was a terrible vacuum that demanded a general to restore order at swordpoint and enforce at swordpoint the cooperation that makes collective action possible, and that vacuum twice persisted for an extraordinarily unreasonable time before a general finally did. The Republic died twice, but things superficially appeared to keep happening as they used to for a while because of old people with old habits acting in ways that used to make sense, but were no longer sane or safe in the new reality.

Because the CEO, the sovereign, cannot be everywhere at once and decide everything he constructs a process that will generally produce an acceptable result if everyone follows it.

But, not everyone is going to follow it.

There is an interesting mathematical theorem from computer science that it takes at most one third of the parties engaging in Byzantine defection to subvert any process. It does not take majority defection, and unless the process is robustly designed to resist Byzantine faults, like the processes of the Venetian Republic in the days of its greatness, which requires immense amount of bullshit and heavy overheads, it takes far less than a third defecting.

The reason is that the people defecting from the process necessarily have a considerable advantage in getting their way over people who do not defect, an advantage that can be mathematically proven is always at least two to one, and is usually far more than two to one. Getting it down to two to one requires smart people designing the process.

A process that can resist one third Byzantine faults always has enormous overheads compared to a process that assumes no Byzantine faults.

If Trump’s people play by the rules, and other people do not play by the rules which is what has been happening, Trump’s people are going to get screwed.

So, by and by, everyone stops playing by the rules, as in the recent exposes of NSA misconduct, as in the recent election, as in the recent court decisions, and too many other instances to count.

But if everyone stops playing by the rules, then collective action becomes difficult. As the Russians complained of America under Obama, “America is not agreement capable.” Notoriously the State Department is owned by Israel. And by Saudi Arabia. And by China. And by assorted Hunter Biden type grifters. All the mutually contradictory conspiracy theories are simultaneously true.

Now in a private company, when you detect Byzantine faults you suspect Byzantine defection, and fire people till it goes away.

Obviously this does not happen in the public service. So the public service tends to become corrupt and incapable of collective action, incapable of serving its purpose.

If Biden gets in, then the people pulling his strings will find that the way they got in makes it impossible to get anything done. Until they start shooting judges and public servants, which I expect to start happening around 2026 or so if Trump fails to start shooting people sooner than that.

In the Roman Republic, the processes stopped working. Caesar incorrectly assumed that it was still impossible for respectable people to publicly murder other respectable people in public. And his assassins incorrectly assumed that after they assassinated Caesar, it would once again become impossible. He was wrong.

And they were wrong. Interesting times ahead.

This blog is going down

December 16th, 2020

This blog, and the associated email addresses are going away until it becomes apparent which way the wind blows.

I am going to sell the domain name.

When it becomes apparent which way the wind blows, a similar blog, with all the original content and comments, will re-open on a less valuable domain name in a safer administration.

Bets on the outcome of current events should be settled in 2020 january 21 with ushwx@protonmail.ch
gpg fingerprint: 0D6ABF58AA31AF9594E70E4673E4BC62E92B87D7

The blog will go into maintenance mode in due course. If things go well, it should start redirecting to a domain with a cheaper domain name on which the blog is no longer in maintenance mode. If things go badly, I am pursuing a course of action based on blockchains and cryptography, while waiting for a Sulla, a Cromwell, or a Stalin. If a Cromwell or a Stalin, I will prepare the way for a General Monck or a Putin.

Whether this domain name will start redirecting to a new domain name depends on my judgment of events. A new blog with all the original content will probably open somewhere, but you may have to discover it.

Normality bias

December 13th, 2020

In the year fifty eight years before Christ in Rome it became obvious that elections were rigged. Courts and due process had ended in the sense that some political violence went unpunished, and attempting to defend oneself against political violence was the gravest of crimes, in the sense that political disagreement was a crime, as Roger Stone and Sheriff Joe recently discovered, while political violence was not, as those who cheerfully had themselves videoed while attempting to murder Kyle in Kenosha demonstrated.

And yet, not until shortly after the assassination of Caesar, fourteen years later did people adjust to the new reality. And Caesar himself did not adjust to the new reality. Before he crossed the Rubicon, he made an offer and attempted a strategy which would only have made sense if legality and free and fair elections were still in effect, though had not been in the slightest effect for seven years.

Similarly the French and Russian Revolutions, though reality set in faster in those cases. When Napoleon took power, ten years after the revolution, he had to lecture those that his soldiers dismissed that they were appealing to a reality that no longer existed and they themselves had destroyed ten years ago.

I fear that Trump, suffering from incurable optimism, will attempt such a strategy, as Caesar did. It is likely to prove as fatal for him as for Caesar.

That Caesar allowed himself to be in a position where he could be assassinated shows he was still suffering from normality bias, and the immediately following the assassination, the assassins demonstrated massive normality bias, believing that with Caesar dead, the old normality would spontaneously return. When normality failed to return, Romans only then finally realized it was dead and not easily resurrected.

And when Napoleon finally declared himself Emperor, we see a fair bit of outrage from those who imagined that the old normality was still in effect, even though it had abruptly ended in the French Revolution fifteen years earlier.

If Trump thinks he can run again in 2024, he is terribly mistaken. He will be in prison by then, and very likely dead by then.

Time to cross the Rubicon

December 12th, 2020

It becomes apparent that no court, including the supposedly conservative majority supreme court, is willing to look at the decisive and overwhelming evidence that the election was stolen.

Trump is going to have to proclaim the Insurrection Act under article four of the constitution, for which he is going to need a general, perhaps General Flynn, who has already called upon him to proclaim the Insurrection act.

Trump is likely to need to call out the militia.

If he fails to do this, he will go from the White House to prison, and so will his family.

If he goes quietly to prison, the proverbial will continue to hit the fan, as the assorted puppet masters of Biden and AOC fight over the puppet strings, and eventually he will, like King Louis and Romanovs, become to dangerous to live.

If Trump goes quietly to prison, then with the pretense of democracy and due process abandoned, there is no way for the swamp to resolve its internal conflicts, and so they will escalate as in the fall of the Roman Republic, when it abandoned due process and honest elections.

History tells us that if we do not get civil war before January 20th, we will get it by 2026, under conditions far less favorable.

The fall of the Republic

November 26th, 2020

Today in America it is the year in Rome fifty eight years before Christ. We are here. The mob is on the streets, which the courts decline to put down, courts and legal processes of the Republic politicized and defunct, carrying out political vengeance and refusing to enforce law, elections blatantly fraudulent and discredited.

Caesar crossing the Rubicon was the culmination of more Rubicons than you can shake a stick at. Before Caesar crossed the Rubicon, Clodius and Pompey crossed the Pomerium.

And before they crossed the Pomerium, Rome had the grossly dysfunctional courts, the undue process, and the rigged elections, that we have right now.

Soros and Hunter Biden are Clodius. Trump is Pompey, Cato, and Cicero. The Insurrection Act is the Senatus Consultum Ultimum.

When Pompey crossed the Pomerium fifty two years before Christ, he rolled up the useless, cowardly, weak, and undisciplined mob, and enforced order without mucking around with the useless and discredited courts.

But, since Pompey was an idiot, he then stepped down from the job of dictator, expecting normalcy to return. It did not. And everyone else acted like idiots also. Seeing order return, they thought that democracy, legality, and due process had returned, though obviously it had not.

Order seemingly restored by Pompey’s dictatorship and the Senatus Consultum Ultimum, Rome went on a conquest binge, dropping the pretext of self defense, and pissing off all its neighbors. One of its neighbors, the Parthians, revealed that they had been advancing the art and technology of war, while Rome had been quietly regressing. But the Parthians were content to grossly humiliate Rome, and merely returned their borders to where they were legally supposed to be, though there was absolutely nothing to stop them from rolling up the the entire eastern empire, and perhaps Rome itself. They still had and observed the legality that Rome had abandoned.

Eight years later, forty nine years before Christ, massive abuse of the courts and lack of legality forced Caesar to, with extraordinary reluctance, cross the Rubicon, after several years where legality was not in effect, but people still deluded acted as if it was. And finally, belatedly, remarkably belatedly, people after the assassination of Caesar recognized that legality, due process, courts, laws, fair trials, and free elections are finally gone and are not coming back any time soon.

Political violence continues to grow, eventually resulting in total war, immensely destructive civil war carried out by extraordinary and unprecedented measures.

After eighteen years of ever escalating chaos and ever more massive and extraordinary bloodshed, after a civil war that turned total, Caesar’s adopted son, Augustus, made himself dictator, but having learned from Pompey’s error, did not step down from the job expecting normalcy to return.

Legality, due process, free elections, and peaceful transfer of power, once lost, are hard to restore.

But despite the imperium, the swamp went on being swampy, the state religion went on being hostile, legality did not return. And things stayed like that for two and half centuries, till Constantine built a new capital, and made a new religion the state religion.

My hope is that our Pompey will be our Constantine, that we do a fast forward over Rome’s centuries of war and ruin.

Where we are, and where we are going

November 23rd, 2020

This blog has never been in the business of covering today’s news, but rather of covering the long sweep of history, and putting today’s news in the long sweep of history.

And today’s news amounts to the fact that we are not going to get a good look at the ballots printed at midnight after the voting finished until and unless Trump proclaims the Insurrection Act:

The President, by using the militia or the armed forces, or both, or by any other means, shall take such measures as he considers necessary to suppress, in a State, any insurrection, domestic violence, unlawful combination, or conspiracy, if it-

so hinders the execution of the laws of that State, and of the United States within the State, that any part or class of its people is deprived of a right, privilege, immunity, or protection named in the Constitution and secured by law, and the constituted authorities of that State are unable, fail, or refuse to protect that right, privilege, or immunity, or to give that protection; or

opposes or obstructs the execution of the laws of the United States or impedes the course of justice under those laws.

We have a conspiracy hindering the execution of the laws of numerous State, and of the United States within those States. And the conspirators need to be detained, preferably in Alaska as far from Washington as possible, by using the militia or the armed forces, or both, or by any other means, and questioned, by military intelligence and loyalist federal cops.

And now, back to the long sweep of history.

A King creates a virtuous elite, as King Alfred the Great and Charles the Second did. A virtuous elite, having internal cohesion and trust, is quite capable of running the country without much Kingly supervision, and the King is apt to be quite content to focus on fornication, partying, and hunting, so the Kingdom gradually becomes a Republic, at first de-facto, and eventually in name and truth.

But a Republic lacks effectual means of dealing with misconduct in the elite, so cooperation and trust in the elite breaks down. They turn to the masses to resolve their internal conflicts, and the Republic becomes a democracy. As evil flourishes, and cooperation continues to break down, it eventually comes to pass that the stakes on the table are too high, so the Republic, or the Democratic Republic, dies.

Democracy requires a level of trust and comity between the parties that no longer exists.

The loser has to believe that loss will not be total, permanent, and result in his destruction.

Because the Democrats have been indulged by law enforcement for a long time, they have committed all manner of crimes, and will go to jail if law enforcement is done in an impartial manner.

Because law enforcement is not done in an impartial manner, the Republicans will go to jail if it is not fixed. If Republicans lose power now, they are permanently and irreversibly out of power, and many of them will wind up in prison or worse. Paul Rand times ten thousand, because the man who attempted to murder Kyle on video is free as a bird.

Caesar became an enemy of the Republic by crossing the Rubicon, but he had to cross the Rubicon because otherwise would have been charged and convicted of no end of political offenses.

However this thing ends, one side or the other is going to jail, and if it ends with Trump out of power, Trump’s family will eventually be executed. Initially they will only be imprisoned, but as $#!% continues to hit the fan, they will eventually, like the Romanovs and the family of Louis XVI, become too dangerous to live.

Fixing law enforcement is going to require proclaiming the Insurrection act, and it may well become necessary to call out the unorganized militia and organize it. Nothing less is likely to suffice.

Too much is on the table for democracy to continue, and it has not continued. To restore a genuine Republic requires the creation of a well behaved elite. It will take at least a century, even if we start right away.

Trying to fix ballot counting requires sending a pile of people to prison, which ups the stakes even further. There is no way to bring the stakes down to something consistent with a Republic, because our elite is corrupt, degenerate, and decadent. You have to create a new, virtuous, elite. Start by purging Harvard, or leveling it to the ground and building a new Harvard, a Harvard run by men who are married, God fearing, Christian, and have well behaved children. (Or, in the case of India, gods fearing.) The battle of Waterloo was won on the playing fields of Eton. We are going to need a Caesar Augustus, and Caesar Augustus is going to need, like Constantine, a state religion that works to produce a virtuous elite.

Caesar’s problem was that all the genuinely virtuous gods fearing people were on the side of the Republic. He had only bad people. And the problem that all the genuinely virtuous gods fearing people had is that they were on the side of a Republic that had died a long time previously. Don’t do what they did. Trying to fix harvesting and registration is doing what they did. You cannot do it unless you purge or dismiss the the three letter agencies, and if you purge or dismiss the three letter agencies, the existing Democrat organization is going to jail.

Marius failed because he upped the stakes so far that the Roman Republic could not continue. Sulla’s problem was that he restored a dead Republic. Caesar’s problem was that he was an enemy of the (undead) Republic and had only bad people around him. Augustus Caesar succeeded because he “restored” the Republic – but made sure the fact that it was dead was not a problem.

But Augustus Caesar had a problem in that insofar as he had a live state religion, he had a hostile state religion. He tried emperor worship, the equivalent of Deng Xiaoping theory, but nothing worked until Constantine adopted Christianity as the state religion. Constantine also built a new capital far from the swamp.

What Putin is doing, making Russian Orthodoxy the state religion, is working. What Deng Xiaoping did looks like it is sort of working so far, but, like Augustus Caesar’s emperor worship, obviously fragile. Deng Xiaoping theory is “learn truth from facts”, which is a mighty good start, the main fact from which they learned truth being that socialism does not work, but the since the state religion is incarnated in the head of state, the facts are what the party says they are.

Charles the second instituted the rule “Nullius in verba”, which obligates you to check stuff for yourself, or at least identify the person who checked stuff himself and listen to what he said, rather than what someone else says he said. I walked in the footsteps of Leonardo da Vinci and Lyell, and I myself verified with my own pickaxe and my own eyes that the Earth is immensely old, not because I had any doubt that I would see what they saw, but because I was raised to believe that one had a moral obligation to use primary sources or, better, much better, one’s own observations, that the Wikipedia style reliance on highly derived sources is not merely unwise, but wicked.