For a very long time I have been predicting war internal and/or external, and/or democide internal for around 2025. Twelve years ago I updated this prediction to sometime around 2026. As yet I see no reason to further modify that prediction, though I have a track record for making predictions on Musk time. We are now a whole lot closer to war external, the imminent fall of Ukraine is likely to result in further escalation and more direct Nato involvement, and there are indications that war internal or democide looms, notably the mass importation of hostile young military age men.
There are two related factors underlying this prediction. The one that I re-iterate the most is that since 1800 or so, anglosphere leftism has been getting ever lefter ever faster. Whenever this happens, and we have been around this merry go round many times, it would culminate in infinite leftism in finite time, as for example in Sichuan province, were it not interrupted by terrible violence as it usually is. Infinite leftism in finite time is everyone kills everyone else for insufficient leftism. Finite leftism is terminated by dictator grabbing absolute power and eliminating those to his right and to his left. Leftism must get ever lefter ever faster, or die as, a shark must swim or drown, so if a rightist dictator grabs power, leftism dies quickly, if a leftist dictator grabs power, it dies slowly, but it still dies.
The other is that a Republic depends on an elite sufficiently virtuous for honest elections. Right now election rigging is so extensive in the west that a peaceful transfer of power is impossible. If peaceful transfer of power is impossible and yet transfer of power happens it is necessary for the winner to eliminate all enemies, suspected enemies, potential enemies, and suspected potential enemies, or else he is unlikely to survive — Julius Caesar’s big mistake.
The Roman Republic leading to Sulla was leftism getting every lefter, the Roman Republic leading to Caesar Augustus was election rigging. Today we have both simultaneously.
Right now, state power is dispersed in numerous difficult to identify hands –the Swamp. If the power to make war and peace is dispersed in too many hands, war is inevitable and unavoidable. So sooner or later, one way or another way, the power to make war and peace will find its way back into a single hand — possibly after the nukes fly. I pray that transfer of power happens before the nukes fly.
Election rigging:
The Butler PA sniper was an obvious FBI asset acting on behalf of the FBI with cover provided by the former head of the secret service — we can be sure of this because of interesting movements of the sniper’s phone, and because of the ensuing cover up. We don’t know that the golf course sniper was acting on behalf of the CIA and state department, but we do know that he is an operative of the CIA and State Department, who was echoing and quoting Kamala Harris’s war rhetoric and political eliminationist rhetoric. For Trump to rule, he is going to have eliminate all these people, or be eliminated as Caesar was. A gun beats five aces. Our enemies played five aces in the 2020 and 2022 elections, and now they are playing guns. The stakes get higher every day. They have been getting higher for two centuries, but now they are getting higher faster.
The lesson of the Roman Republic is that once someone starts cheating on the mechanisms for peaceful transition of power, then there is no alternative to violent transition of power. Normiecon bias is that we can live with just a little bit of cheating. No we cannot.
It rapidly became obvious that enormous numbers of Romans were going to be killed by Romans, and everyone was were trying to avoid that outcome by returning to the old normal. There were endless agreements to return to the old normal, which predictably came to nothing. Everyone wanted the old normal back, as the horrifying alternative drew in sight, but they could not get from where they were to where they wanted to be.
Trump cannot win, no one can win, unless he kills a whole lot of people, and, after killing a whole lot of people, establishes a new mechanism for peaceful transfer of power. But hard to establish a mechanism for peaceful transfer of power if you lack a virtuous elite.
Leftism must get ever lefter, ever faster, as shark must swim or drown
Leftism starts with envy and covetousness. Covetousness is that someone wants to knock over the apple cart to grab some apples. Envy is he just want to knock over the apple cart because he does not have one.
And, given that there are people who want to knock over the applecart, easier and safer to knock it over as part of a gang. So, priests: Someone comes up with a clever rationalisation why knocking over the applecart is wise, virtuous, and beneficial. Then, from priests, to a priesthood. Leftism gives rise to the left as an organised entity with a hierarchy and an official, though frequently changing, belief system.
As each applecart gets taken down, people become excited for new applecarts, and the supposed ideals of leftism abruptly change to something new. Before World War One, the big exciting applecart was Empire, Emperors, and aristocrats, as for example the Austro Hungarian Empire and the British Empire, so nationalism was leftist, and leftists were generally nationalists. After World War II, nationalism was generally rightist. From 1890 to 1980, capitalists and capitalism were the big apple cart. These days, the left is content with corporations continuing to exist, they just want them run by the leftist priesthood. The universities are overproducing dimwitted would be members of the elite, and they want the state to helicopter them into top jobs, and manufacture new top jobs in global warming, Covidianity, diversity, equity, and inclusion. Plus of, course, the faggot left is after other people’s children. And the usual crowd want to resume the 1990s looting and pillaging of Russia, and then get on with looting and pillaging China and Iran.
The only cure is that the proprietors of apple carts subscribe to state religion that takes a firm hand with heretics and apostates.
Leftism is the priestly equivalent of mobile banditry. A leftist priesthood is to a priesthood what a robber baron is to a baron. Mobile banditry is, under some circumstances, a perfectly sound strategy, though under most common circumstances a very wicked strategy, but when the sovereign is falling down on his job, a necessary and justified one.
Leftism tends to arise when the existing official priesthood is weak, cynical, and decadent. And to successfully put leftism down, you need an official priesthood that is strong, sincere, and virtuous.
We have been around this merrygoround many, many times. This is one more time. It will end the same way as all the others.
We saw something strikingly resembling various very recent incarnations of leftism in the eleventh century caliphate, Barebone’s Parliament in England, the Church of Reason in France, the Nicolaitians, the Donatists and the Cathars rapidly transitioning into polyamorous communists, and many others.
It is not driven by technology. It is certainly not driven by capitalism. (Watch Disney burning the IP they spent wads of money on, watch Boeing abandoning its plane and rocket business for diversity, equity, and inclusion.) It is driven by holiness spirals in the priesthood (the modern priesthood being lawyers, judges, academics, and “journalists”.)
Twenty first century western leftism comes out of Harvard. Before the War of Northern Aggression, each of the American states had its own state religion, and the Vatican of New England was Harvard. After the War of Northern Aggression, the United States had one state religion, and its Vatican is still Harvard.
A state is too big to be a tribe, so it needs an elite tribe within the state. But that elite is itself too large to be a natural tribe, so has to be a synthetic tribe – a tribe built on a faith, such as communism, the God that failed. Or the Church of England, as in England from 1660 to 1820.
Every state has a state religion, and no one is allowed into the state or quasi state elite unless they adhere to the state religion. States die when their state religion dies of disbelief, or commits suicide by holiness spiralling. Or both. We are seeing both happens simultaneously now. The ruling tribe becomes incohesive. Covidianity, sodomy, and sexual transition lacks appeal, and people are getting quietly sick of female emancipation, which in practice amounts to men not getting sex, and women not getting husbands and children.
Deep State pinkie-swears it’s totally Iran that’s monkeying around with the US election:
https://www.dni.gov/index.php/newsroom/press-releases/press-releases-2024/3981-joint-odni-fbi-and-cisa-statement-on-iranian-election-influence-efforts
Fits in with an earlier narrative Iran was in communication with the first assassin.
“Mobile banditry is, under some circumstances, a perfectly sound strategy, though under most common circumstances a very wicked strategy, but when the sovereign is falling down on his job, a necessary and justified one.”
Humungus agrees.
We have just war doctrine. Need just mobile banditry doctrine. Mobile banditry is just if there is a realistic hope of settling down to become a stationary bandit, and collecting the loot by electronic messaging, rather than needing to continually go out to kill, loot, burn and pillage, and if accomplishing that objective is a realistic improvement, at least for taxpayers and soldiers, on the status quo.
By and large, the East India company engaged in mobile banditry because conditions made it unsafe for their merchants to buy spices on the free market. Whereupon they proceeded to obtain spices by more drastic means, and eventually settled down to stationary banditry. East India company stationary banditry enabled the middle class to prosper, because conditions had previously made it difficult to do business — in particular difficult to grow spices for export, while the East India company would protect a businessman’s property rights provided he paid taxes and all that.
“Mobile banditry is just if there is a realistic hope of settling down to become a stationary bandit”
So how to do it? How to transition from mobile bandit to stationary one.
Let say general buttnaked want to stop being naked , put on some cloth and establish law and order, how he start doing that?
You wander around demanding payoffs, but promise to protect the people who pay you off against robbers, thieves, and other people demanding payoffs. And then do so.
The East India company, dealing with truculent princes, tended to burn the palace and devastate the populace. Dead truculent princes were apt to be replaced by princes more willing to make a deal, the essence of the deal being to leave merchants of the of East India company alone, and to let goods pass through. Letting goods pass through tended to result in protection being extended from the merchants to the people they did business with and a circle of tranquility and the opportunity to engage in creation of value without being murdered extended from around the East India company, resulting in the lands it had devastated coming under productive agriculture.
In 1704, the Duke of Marlborough was able to advance a 20,000 man strong force, with artillery and all ammunition, at a rate of over ten miles a day; not for just a few days, in between breaks for supplies to catch up, but for nearly thirty days straight, crossing the entire distance up the Rhine from the Netherlands to southern Germany in less than a month, intercepting the French attack on Austria. A feat of logistics that was never equaled before or since in that age.
And how was this accomplished? Simplicity itself: the Duke would have men ride ahead with supply orders and money to commission them with, and at every town and city along the planned route, everything the corps needed, from food to replacement boots for all the footwear worn out by constant marching, would be staged there, ready and waiting.
If Marlborough’s plan was to try and supply his army by banditry or delivery from England, this achievement, this level of military power, beyond what either the French *or* their Hapsburg allies could have dreamed of, would have simply been impossible.
The best logistical network is one that already exists. There is ‘money of the table’ all around you – systems of capital, ready and waiting, to be used – that many are blind too, and can only be picked up with the right spirit.
It’s no coincidence how ‘World Central Kitchen’ provides better disaster relief than any other ‘international aid organization’ around, since it was started and operated by a former restaurant owner, who operated with an obvious logic; the best way to coordinate food supply in a disaster area is through men who were in the business of food supply – other restaurant owners – leveraging their existing skills, networks, and organizations to get logistics working again. Whereas the communists running 99.99% of ‘charities’ rather like the sight of property owners moldering uselessly in refugee camps, and would eat shit before letting them have the least bit of stature, nevermind any of their prize money pass through their hands.
The right time for security of property is always and already. And if there is no security of property, then the mirage of civilization, prompt access to bountiful supply on demand, evaporates like morning dew.
Speaking of explosives:
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13864849/Cops-explosives-car-near-Trump-rally-Long-Island-second-assassination-attempt.html
Ah, the article was just updated with authorities claiming no explosives were found.
Yet another change to the article:
“There is a person who is being questioned who may have been training a bomb detection dog near the site. The individual with the bomb dog falsely reported explosives being found and that individual is currently being detained by police.”
What?
Explosives were found but its okay because they were good explosives who never hurt nobody.
“Volatile but mostly inert” /s
Another recent addition:
“He went on to blame a suspect with a ‘self-trained bomb-detecting dog’ for sounding the alarm about explosives near the rally site.”
Dang, that’s a wonder dog.
Good doggo. Deserves belly rub and bacon strips.
https://x.com/aeberman12/status/1836012801648631879
World gasoline and diesel consumption peaking at 2015, going flat at 2023 with 2024.
Now besides gas, I also noticed that entertainment production is also seriously getting shittier, it’s not about the wonderful girl bosses or trannies added, I mean as in the special effects and environment design is like someone was given duct tape and a shoestring budget, and found out he doesn’t even have the duct tape. You can chalk it up to the diversity hires or whatever, but I don’t even think its that. It’s more like they don’t even *have* the capital to do what they really want to do just like they can’t make shells.
Compare Alien: Romulus to the 1986 Aliens movie, where’s all the cool gadgets, why is the pulse rifle used for like 10 seconds and it disappears from existence afterwards? You can almost see the dude crunching the numbers thinking ‘I can’t use more than the available budget for this scene’.
Bigger special effects budgets, crapper special effects. Weapons inflation, and special effects inflation.
The tools for special effects have only gotten easier to use and more powerful. In normal circumstances this would mean better for lower cost. Implication leads to user error.
Note the Reformation playbook. The Vatican in Rome was corrupt and some Germanic spergs called them on it, via the printing press.
Printed books were the vehicle for their critique that circumvented the Vatican’s ownership and gatekeeping of what had been, until ~1500AD, the only public “platform” there actually was: people getting together on Sunday mornings to listen to a priest or bishop.
Once a new mass communication medium arrives, something like this pretty much happens on its own, somehow. George Soros himself, I’m told, helped lubricate the collapse of the USSR with just a smattering of basement photocopiers, weaseled into the Workers’ Paradise by clever means.
All that’s missing now is, effectively, something that can do what 2014 4chan and Twitter did, which brought us Trump, reaction to whom accelerated Harvard’s legitimacy collapse up to Turbo Eleven.
It’s all about that communication medium, just some way we can go back to taking pictures of deer and superimposing the word “DEER” onto them. But anonymously somehow, so Antifa can’t burn crosses on our lawn and get us fired.
This implies heroic cryprographic wizardry I could never comprehend, but I appreciate Jim’s connecting the dots and “enlarging the problem” to include a coin and scalable system of exchange, thus financially incentivizing this new medium’s invention. Recursive snarks and whatever.
Harvard looks invincible, but so did the Vatican. They’re air-dropping niggers from sea to shining sea to eat cats, shit in drinking fountains and just humiliate anyone and everyone they want to humiliate, with impunity. But it’s only because we can’t call a deer a deer in public, be SEEN calling the deer a deer in public, and get away with it.
Never owed so much, by so many, to so few.
How did he know that Trump would be golfing? On that course and at that time? I’m sure it was a lucky guess.
Now this looks interesting
https://x.com/ericmmatheny/status/1836180231721291806
It is a remarkably small world.
Presumably if you take an adequate sample of known powerful people, and analyse the metadata of who is connected to whom, you could roll up the whole group that is ruling us and ship them to Alaska and the Pacific in a few black helicopters and half a dozen cattle trucks.
The Qanon fantasy was all about this.
“We have the data.”
“We know it all.”
(God that was so long ago.)
But in so memeing, perhaps these tricksters really did reveal the truth, which would be that the head of the snake actually is identifiable, from metadata that’s already lying around.
Was Hunter Biden an opsec supergenius? Is ANYONE who’s REALLY important? What was the password on Hillary Clinton’s email server again?
Why would they do that?
BTW as far as gay pride parades and wars the 1st winner might be Israel. I thought they were losing their edge too but you gotta admire what they pulled off, that was some real James Bond shit.
If Israel collapses under Trump, expect millions of Israeli refugees, an overwhelming majority of whom will become hardcore Trumpists.
If Israel collapses under Kamala – it’s literally annuda shoah. She would never, ever allow millions of Likudniks to show up. It’s Too Big To Rig. Not only will the Muslims in the Democrat Party ensure that all Israelis die – the Jews in the Democrat Party will ensure that all Israelis die, and with far, far greater fanaticism than the Muslims.
Anglin would see this as yet another absolutely compelling reason to vote for Kamala, but I suspect you don’t share that view.
What’s your take on this:
Vox Day’s angle on the Donald Trump phenomenon of 2014-2016 was that (muslims were getting the bomb soon, so Israel wasn’t safe anymore, and then) Da Jooooz had woken up to how their “host hop” from the Anglosphere to Russia and China had been cock-blocked by Putin and Xi, accordingly. And thus oy vey, our American Gollum needs more service life and a shot of vitamins quick!
Others have been pontificating more recently that perhaps the Ukraine was therefore being groomed as their emergency ersatz safe space criminal base instead.
Curve-fitting bullshit? Maybe roughly rhyming with the truth, but colored in with the wrong color crayons, so to speak?
It is obviously true that the Ukraine was being prepared by faction of the Jewish faction of our overlords as an alternate safe space. Less clear that this faction was entirely in a position to call the shots. This faction planned to feed Azov into the meat grinder as part of their end game, while another faction, aware of the uselessness of the Glohomo faggot tranny military, would like to keep them around.
It is also obviously true that Thermidor, which is not the same thing as Jewish faction, though there is a lot of overlap, wants the American Gollum to get more service life and a shot of vitamins quick, but are unable to think the terrible thoughts of what is actually needed in that shot of vitamins.
Azov is now being fed into the meat grinder, but this may well be more a reaction to attrition eliminating the Ukrainian army, than a sinister plot to make the Ukraine into the new Jewish safe space.
The 1990s looting and destruction of Russia was predominantly Jewish, and I still see a whole lot of self delusion that breaking Russia into a bunch of vassal satrapy states and resuming the looting is on the cards.
The Trump Vance plan seems to be “forget about bringing the 1990s back in Russia, but you can still have the Ukrainian safe space”. It is a very Jewish plan that seems likely to appeal to a significant faction of the elite.
Too many cooks, too many plans, and the broth is a mess. Any attempt to make sense of all this as single coherent sinister plot is foolish. There are rather too many coherent sinister plots afoot.
And with a gazillion of horny Jihadists specifically losing their penises but otherwise staying alive, Israel is obviously begging for retaliation, so the real (“regional”) war can begin already.
Only about 10% of the pager targets survived it seemed.
On the order of 10 dead and 2500-4000 injured (I’ve seen both numbers).
I read around 3000 dead to 300-400 injured… but who knows yet.
“Only about 10% of the pager targets survived”
In order to know that we’d need to know the number of targets. Maybe there were 1,000 targets and for the vast majority of them the trick didn’t work at all. No data, no conclusion.
(Or, not enough data for a confident conclusion, as far as I know.)
Its not. The gay is still killing us.
The pager attack just decapitated the Hezbollah leadership at the officer level. They are currently in a state of absolute horror and shock. Nasrallah ordered the pagers precisely because he didnt want the Israelis listening in on the cell phones. This means everyone who got their hands or eyes or balls blown off were field officers or high level NCOs.
What we should be doing, what everyone knows to do at this stage, is to follow up with a series of punishing strikes that will utterly collapse Hezbollah, opening a door for their own competitors in Lebanon to rise up and tear them to pieces, much like we should have done in the 80s when we had the PLO on the ropes until the fucking Leftists sabotaged the effort.
Similarly, because our current leadership is composed of American-owned Tel Aviv Leftist faggots, we are not following up the attack with the series of strikes that would permanently cripple Hezbollah, something which would have a domino effect of eventually toppling Iran.
I was hearing Israelis literally screaming about this on the radio talk shows whcih we still have here. The Israelis who are not American-owned Tel Aviv Leftist faggots, ie the vast majority, are furious that we arent following up and instead losing the momentum. Basically what the American-owned Tel Aviv Leftist faggots have been putting us through day after day from the beginning of this fucking war that should have been over within two weeks.
this is important. Because there is a reason why these assholes were so popular. Leftists give you permission to be an utter piece of shit, faggots are great fun, and American money is incredible.
What God Almighty is giving us, is a very very merciful lesson in why these people are toxic poison. And He is giving it to us through field experience. The majority of the combat soldiers are not retarded kids just out of high school, they are all adult men either well into university, or businesses, with families, etc. They know how things work and they are getting very tired of being forced to fight with one hand tied behind their backs, giving up hard won territory, only to have to go in and take the same refortified objective again and again and again.
All that stops the moment they decide they have had enough of the bullshit.
wrote an embittered reply talking about the effectiveness of the beepers, and my frustration that American-owned Tel Aviv Leftist faggotry was preventing the proper follow up of a bunch of strikes to utterly crush the shattered Hezbollah.
Turns out I was dead wrong. My Tel Aviv Leftist faggots have clearly found their balls and decided to stop being owned leftist faggots. Because they just set off the second wave of beepers.
Thank God Almighty. Blessed is God Almighty, Creator of Heaven and Earth. Who saves and loves His sons.
Per the NYT, explosives planted into comm devices on the way to Lebanon.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/17/world/middleeast/israel-hezbollah-pagers-explosives.html
You’d think Hezbollah would have checked after the first attack. I’m morbidly curious if Israel can pull this off a third time.
Is that sufficient, however? How about a ground op? How about just going in all the way to Litani or even beyond? Now would be the time.
From the river to the sea, Palestine will be free.
Damn man, calm down. It’s just desert people killing desert people in the desert. As they’ve done for 3,000 years and will do for another 3,000 years after the oil runs out.
The only issue of importance to us is whether we get flooded with a bunch of sand people refugees due to their nonsense.
That’s a real concern, but I’m more worried that it’ll expand into a full-on Israel v. Iran war, which the USA will inevitably and gleefully join. From there, Russia joins on Iran’s side, China joins on Russia’s side, and it’s WWIII.
I’m glad the additional bombings have temporarily sated your bloodlust and victim complex, but I must ask:
What do Americans gain from our supposed “ownership” of these leftist Israeli leaders?
What does America gain from Israel at all?
Computer expertise. Israel is literally the only country on earth where the government can say, “we need a computer system that does X” and have it delivered, installed, and working in ten weeks instead of ten years. Every other government either copies what Israel uses or commissions a catastrophe like the Obamacare website or Canada’s Long Gun Registry. All that Covid passport nonsense was implemented with hardware and software made in Israel.
Audacious trap by Mossad (at a guess): many rigged pagers used by Hezbollah explode, 11 dead so far, thousands (sic) injured in Lebanon.
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/what-we-know-so-far-about-deadly-pager-blasts-lebanon-2024-09-17/
Kinda bummer , i always thought pager was interesting as unhackable system of communications , and can be used for small units .
Another vulnerability discovered. We are clearly moving toward a world in which to build an effective resistance , everything has to be inhouse.
They probably rigged the batteries to overload, probably through firmware backdoors on the chips all this stuff is made out of. Which of course Israel would have access too through their ‘greatest ally’.
Which is not exactly the same thing as owning the communication itself, but still a problem in the same ballpark of course.
Here is the NYT take: https://archive.ph/HFKNS
Well, first of all don’t buy your pagers from the other side (Taiwan). Furthermore, a pretty nasty trap: tampered pagers apparently started beeping before blowing up. So you pull it out to see what’s going on …
Having thought about it the biggest problem with the battery theory is that while possible, unless all several thousands of them all happened to be charging their devices at the same time, it begs the question of where the power to overload the battery would be coming from to begin with. It is also technically possible to remotely induce current, but if they had equipment inconspicuous enough to do that in enemy territory stealthily without anyone noticing, they could just fry the man directly instead.
Given the fact that all the pagers which exploded were also new deliveries, it’s likely that they arranged through shell companies knowing they were selling to hezbollah and rigged with remote explosives.
I wonder who did the modifications. Intercepting the shipment and adding explosives to each of a few thousand pagers seems like a potentially lengthy affair, so can it be done somewhere on the way and chalked up to shipping delays, or was it done at the factory/warehouse?
I see that Hezbollah walkie-talkies blew up today. (Manufacturer: Japanese Icom.) This time a further 14 dead, 450 injured.
Also, strangely, reports that some solar energy systems exploded. Not sure what to think about that. Possibly one casualty.
https://apnews.com/live/lebanon-syria-pagers-hezbollah-updates
The time has come for someone to get serious about verifiable open source hardware and software.
GAE seem to still have smart people , this must have been a massive coordinated ops , no way this is israel only operation.
My theory someone in GAE want war with iran to cover ukraine collapse . Having power to reach Taiwan , japan and possibly more to pull something like this can only be by group backed by GAE.
This kill the idea of army unite outsourcing equipments .
Taliban way and probably hamas way of pen and paper plus in person meeting , seem the most security.
Observing peer war in the Ukaine, you cannot fight a peer war with pen and paper.
American intelligence is gay trooned out and retarded I strongly suspect this is Israel only or very nearly so. Probably the difference is that both groups involve women now where they shouldn’t be… and in America sheboons and such.
Jewish men may on average be only slightly smarter than the average white guy, but Jewish women are on average a full standard deviation above the average white girl (for all their other faults). So their intelligence is not as incompetent…
Guix is pretty good for software. The default branch pulls in no proprietary binary blobs to build your system. The real issue is hardware. Perhaps older chipsets can work? What’s the likelihood a hardware backdoor was kept secret 15 years? Not rhetorical, I’m not sure how to quantify that. Plus with the older hardware its very hard to supply chain attack.
What is the difference between Guix and Nix?
On researching, I find that guix is a fork of nix, the major difference being that it uses a standard language, guile, instead of their own idiosyncratic custom language, and has a greater commitment to open source.
Well actually guile is a custom idiosyncratic language also, but it is dsl of Scheme, which is a dialect of lisp, designed to be embedded within applications, thus providing a dsl for the application.
Both are package managers where you define a system declaratively using some functional language, nix for nix and guile, some scheme dialect, for guix. Guix came after and so fixed some of the issues nix had (fractured ecosystem and language too clever by half).
The important difference is community. Nix and nixpkgs seem less concerned about security or anything besides getting workable declarative builds. Things like exposing secrets and a recent issue where the sha is checked after running binaries, lots of things like this. Unsafe mess if you don’t inspect your supply chain. Probably fine if you package everything yourself and dont rely on publix nix anything besides language and build tools, but who wants to do that.
Guix community is GNU and from the start more concerned about Free Software. Smaller community so everything is a bit more unripe. If youre more concerned about a safe build, they’re the way to go. The main package branch has no unfree software, no binary blobs, but can be an issue depending on your hardware and requires a bit of extra attention. If you just want a declarative package manager that mostly works (even if the ecosystem is a scattered mess because founded by functional programming enthusiasts who refuse to work with pragmatic programming enthusiasts), nix ecosystem.
A modern chip could also simply be well enslaved. Consider a hardware buffer which displayed short strings and required manual release to the outside world. The chip would not physically be able to connect to the internet, but can only fill the buffer. So you get to control anything it wants to send out. Likewise with something like current control, you only need to intercept and limit the actual connection. If you’re somewhere neutral like Dubai you could probably automate the process by using simpler Russian and Chinese made chips as the shacklers/output scrutinisers
If a non-peaceful transition of power is inevitable, I am ok with the swamp being removed from power using the guillotine. May they all perish. From the elder statesmen to the infants. No member of the Bush Clinton Obama Gates Soros Zuckerberg regime must be allowed to worm their way back into power ever again.
Easy, Tiger. There’s no man-made “final solution” to this kind of thing. Covetousness and envy are in everyone.
Not in everyone.
My sins are grievous and many, but I am pretty sure I do not suffer from envy at all, and covetousness does not seem to be a significant problem.
Covetousness may well be inherent to the human condition, but envy, like homosexuality, is a deviation and abnormality.
And the problem is not envy and covetousness, but envy and covetousness valorized and instituted in the officially unofficial state religion. If your state religion comes out against them explicitly, as established Anglicanism did from 1660 to 1800 or so, they don’t cause significant problems.
They become a problem when a priesthood organises to knock over someone’s applecart, infiltrates the official religion, knocks over the applecart, and becomes the official religion.
I think envy might be a deeper problem. For most of human evolutionary history, we were in small hunter-gatherer bands. I’ve brought this up in the context of Robin Hanson’s forager vs farmer way of understanding left vs right, but one feature of foragers is that, from what people can tell from bands that have survived to modern times, these have tended to be highly egalitarian. Which means not allowing anyone to accumulate significant relative wealth – envy.
It’s not too hard to imagine that people would have adapted to forager norms over the millions of years of evolution, and return to them easily even now if it is not actively suppressed.
Kept my hair in early 2010s & strongly felt war in 10-12 years as well.
Can a state religion die of disbelief without anyone killing lots of priests? If so, is this a possibility of avoiding the leftist singularity? Everybody stops believing and the holiness spiral goes away?
Rome might be an example for that. Nobody was believing in the old gods anymore, nobody tried to be more holy than anyone else. Everybody simply tried to get power and wealth by whatever means available. Civil war ensures, but a civil war without genocidal intentions. Still bad, but it could be lot worse.
I don’t think belief or disbelief has anything to do with holiness competition. Holiness spirals are about status in the priesthood. If open entry priesthood was abolished and status is set in traditional hierarchy then leftist holiness spirals cannot happen by definition.
A religion dying by increase of disbelief is another matter. But when a state religion dies, there is vaccum and all kinds of bad demons can enter.
Obvious solution: Recruit the priesthood from people who have demonstrated good character in their ordinary everyday lives — Paul speaks about this repeatedly. Tucker correctly speaks a lot about it in a way more intelligible to moderns. Family men, whose families function as families should, as commanded by Paul and depicted by Tucker. And of course, watch for heretics and apostates. Anyone who loudly explains he is holier than the King and his Bishops. is a threat, and is no Christian.
Follow the recruitment policy advocated by Tucker and commanded by Paul.
This stops holiness spirals.
If you have a virtuous official priesthood, and restrict doctrine to only matters unfalsifiable or falsifiable and demonstrably true, the official faith remains credible.
Paul on faith and works: We are saved by faith, but you know a tree by its fruits.
Sam Bankman-Fried and the Effective Altruists illustrates what you get when someone claims prodigious fruits for people far away in places he could not find on a map. Similarly William Wilberforce and his holier-than-Jesus Saints.
Eh, you just need Brahmins tied to a strong King.
Brahmins in Patiala are based & the local Kali Mandir is like the strongest in Greater Panjab.
Patiala is also the start of the BJP cleansing universities to replace them with Nirmalas (Sikh Brahmin order).
Anyway, not a Priest so..
“I don’t think belief or disbelief has anything to do with holiness competition.“
Holiness competition is all about belief and disbelief in the sense that to beat holiness you need men of faith , or the leftist will take power out of the hand of officials priesthood who lost faith and became cynical. It like going to a gun fight with a knife.
For the man trying to appear more holy than his competitor it is only about status in the priesthood and indeed has nothing to do with belief or disbelief. But for the audience of a holiness competition among priests belief is necessary. If the audience does not believe, it won’t be impressed and won’t support a priest’s grab for more status.
Holiness competition works only inside a faith. Those outside the faith will not be impressed by whoever wins the holiness competion inside the faith – and might actually be repulsed. The point of a holiness competion is to gather support. Whoever wins get support of believers only. The fewer believers, the less incentive to win a holiness competition.
We are talking about a live faith here. So indeed, the belief or disbelief doesn’t matter.
It’s all about the point deer make horse phenomenon.
So long as the high priest can point deer and make horse and the king agrees or forced to agree, whether people believe or disbelieve in their hearts doesn’t matter. If nobody dares point out that the deer is in fact not a horse. Then the priest is high status and the “disbelievers” are low status.
When suddenly people start noticing publicly that the deer is a deer and not a horse after all, suddenly the faith is not so live any more and then your holiness spirals start weakening and become irrelevant. Kind of what is happening to the official faith of globohomo.
Polytheistic civilizations can have theocracies but they don’t really have holiness spirals the way monotheistic societies (or their offshots do). The retarded neo pagan larpers should make this point but don’t.
I do believe Jim has pointed out that the Populares (though for the most part the good guys in the late Republic) went off the rails when Marius was old and partially mad and invited the Samnites (who generally hated the Romans) to garisson the city. Luckily for Rome Sulla defeated them at the battle of Colline Gate. Not sure it was a holiness spiral as the Roman Factions were not so ideological as much as extreme tactics in a power struggle. Roman factions were odd and especially in Sulla’s time they were odd. Sulla was unusual in being a very popular Optimate (most Roman armies sent after him defected to him, after he retired from the dictatorship he would sometimes move in the forum without bodyguards and would give an account of his actions to any citizen who asked).
The main Roman holiness spiral was under the Christians in the West not under Constantine but under the Theodosian Dynasty. Theodosius mass invited barbarians into the empire (to dilute conservative countryside pagans) while paying informers to go after any observance of the old ways. Honorius or someone did even worse, when Stilcho was purged the order came down to kill all the family members of the Federati (the barbarians in the Roman army, a lot of them were perfectly loyal before because often married to Italian or Roman women) who were living in Italy. The Federati who found out about this en masse defected to the enemy.
Obvious example of holiness spiraling in a polytheistic society: Hindu veganism and Brahmin legalism. The Dharma Bros complain about this all the time.
I should spare the Dharma bros a rant about the corruption of blood from the Dravidians. the original Hinduism of the Aryans actually has a triune creator (Brahma Vishnu Shiva) all the other gods were more like lesser aspects of the trinity god or something akin to angels.
“Original” goes back a long way. The past of Hinduism is murky and contains many threads of belief. Of which I am ignorant, and suspect there is a whole lot of ignorance.
From what little I know, I would guess that a Hinduism based on the Ramayana and the law of Manu would be fairly based. Problem is that there is a great pile of Talmudic elaboration on the Law of Manu. When the East India company dug up the old Hindu books they were favourably impressed. Rather less impressed by the Hinduism that they encountered in their own time. They knew this stuff better than I do.
I should say that legalism is a problem in Hinduism but it’s not the main source of the issue. Hinduism became legalistic after external defeat.
I think I had gone deeper into this in the past, but it is too difficult to dig up the archives of my comments from past threads.
For centuries your white rulers ridiculed you over this issue, particularly complaining vehemently about the substitution of ritual cleanliness for actual cleanliness.
When Christianity lost power, white people stopped indicting Hinduism for legalist cleanliness, stopped addressing filth as a religious issue, while continuing to complain about filth. You get regularly insulted on this blog, and everywhere, for lack of cleanliness, which is a continuation of an indictment of Hinduism by Christians that is centuries old.
Seems to me that the East India company did think that legalism was the big problem. What do you think is the big problem?
Legalism was a reaction to external defeat — both in Judaism and Hinduism. But it is a self defeating reaction. You get a faith unfit to exercise the power it once had, as was spectactularly displayed when the Jews grabbed power and revolted against the Romans. The earthly function of a faith is generate, socially support, and socially enforce, consensus on earthly right conduct. If a faith abandons that job, which legalism does, it is unfit to hold power. The merit of an official faith with state power is that its consensus on earthly right conduct gets enforced by the sovereign.
Back when Christianity was a live faith, its indictment of Hinduism was primarily demonic infiltration before it had to govern the place. When Christians found they actually had to govern the place, when Christianity was in power in Christendom, and Christendom found itself governing Hindus, the indictment was primarily legalism.
Albeit demonic infiltration and demon worship tend to be linked. Tucker regularly implies that the filth of big blue American cities is an indicator and/or result of demon worship, and indictments of Judaism frequently link ritual holiness to demonic infiltration — that a Jew does not care if the guy beside him in the synagogue is worshipping God or Satan, provided he adheres to the correct ritual. Legalism is way of accommodating demon worship, because demon worshippers want to violate the substance of the religious commandments, because demon worshippers reject earthly right conduct, so worshippers accommodate them by substituting the legalist form of the commandments. Jewish legalism is an ancient holiness spiral, but it modern times it is an accommodation to Satan worship.
I would frequently ridicule B because Orthodox Jews do not want to rule Israel, and are incapable of doing so. They are incapable of ruling Israel because legalism, and were they to rule, as in the revolt against Rome, it would be a disaster. Remember the Covidians attacking the ritual family gathering of Thanksgiving, telling their adherents to make it unpleasant.
If Hinduism is to successfully return to power, cannot accommodate legalism.
The major issue with legalist religions is that they tend to be ignorant of the external physical reality of good and bad conduct (the more legalist, the more ignorant), resulting in the substitution of a theory of vices and virtues, e.g. the Christian notion of the seven deadly sins, which manifest in real world conduct, with commandments and prohibitions which are to be followed blindly and, naturally, interpreted, re-interpreted, and re-re-re-re-interpreted by legal scholars according to whatever legal tricks they can come up with. That’s the Phariseeism/Talmudism/Judaism model.
Best illustration is The Oven of Akhnai, from Bava Metzia 59a-b (Talmud):
“My children have triumphed over Me; My children have triumphed over Me.” That is Judaism. As Jim says, it’s a pile of lawsuits launched by Jews against God, which the Jews won and God lost. This naturally results in the abandonment of the real world for an entirely made-up one, where carob tress, streams, walls, and the voice of God crying out from Heaven do not matter at all – what matters is the consensus of legal scholars using legal tricks to maneuver the religion wherever they so please, regardless of much real-life consequences. That is Judaism.
Such religions are, by definition, theological errors.
The modern “priest” is the school teacher. The closest thing that would set off a killing of teachers is the wrong homeschool community being targeted when schools start literally grading children on their sodomy skills (by 2040 at the latest). The left, surprisingly, wouldn’t actually care that much, but it would be a conflict between the actual right and the [*deleted I have argued with this claim many times, and you never respond, you just sail right on as if everyone agrees.*]
Obvious examples of the official faith dying are Soviet Communism, the Roman Republic, the Sadducees in Israel, the Norse gods in Iceland.
The Sadducees were the official faith, but because of cynicism and doubt, lost power to the Pharisees — the Pharisees being what is now modern Judaism.
Xi is struggling with the death of faith. He wobbles between zigging left to actual Marxism to build up the faith, often using words like “faith” that acknowledge that Marxism-Leninism-Maoism is another religion, and zagging right to keep the economy going.
Would like to better inform myself on this. What resources are you using to form this opinion, if they are easily sharable and not scattered pieces across 1000 different chats and articles.
It is scattered as implication across a thousand articles, articles that are often primarily about business conditions in China and doing business with China. Also implicit in the line pushed by government and quasi government media. He zigged left, the capitalists got cold feet and the economy nosed dived, and then he zagged right. Last I was tracking events, he was in zag right mode, but still deeply worried about cynicism in the elite. He wants to stuff party members onto business boards to keep the business ideologically correct, much like DEI in the boardroom in the USA and Europe, and then finds, much like DEI in the boardroom, the party members are looting the place, and he is not so keen on that, so wants party members to sincerely hold the faith. He wants people motivated to get rich, and to have the opportunity to get rich, but since this is fundamentally inconsistent with Marxism Leninism, the faith he wants the elite to sincerely hold, the faith he is telling the elite to sincerely hold, has a problem, which problem in the official media appears in what is said, and what can strangely not be said.
Where do you get the sense that this is wobbling back to marxism and not the millenia old pattern of reducing everyone to day laborers and party bureacrats? I see regalia and lipservice, but nothing that seems actually communist. In that, the state wants total control, but not because it wants to liquidate wealth out of covetousness, or even uses covetousness to justify such liquidation, instead justifies it in the name of public order and social harmony.
To me this looks like the faith trying to be revived is the same faith that held the middle kingdom back when everyone else with a 100+ mean IQ population was going though the industrial transformation. Not communism, something older and more bland.
What gives me that sense is that the party keeps using words like “faith”. The party is lecturing people, and especially the elites, on being a good person. It keeps telling people what is morally right.
While obviously this is likely to degenerate into the usual China being Chinese, the usual China being Chinese made China poor and weak. Which did not bother the elites when the rest of the world did not exist for them, but then the world kicked down the door and stomped all over China and the Chinese, and the Chinese government seriously did not like that, and wants a change from the usual usual.
They may wind up with the usual usual anyway — it is hard to fight entropy. But the Chinese government and party are seriously motivated to not let entropy win. They are just not altogether clear in their own minds how to beat entropy. They want capitalism to be able to function, but their belief system is in the way of capitalism functioning, and capitalism functioning is in the way of their belief system.
Without a faith, and without good people who believe in that faith, can China stand? On the other hand, without capitalism, cannot stand either.
“Covidianity, sodomy, and sexual transition lacks appeal, and people are getting quietly sick of female emancipation, which in practice amounts to men not getting sex, and women not getting husbands and children.”
But getting sick of it doesn’t really translate into being able to do anything about it. Just like the expanding number of incels can’t do anything about getting pussy. Who is going to start the warband and divvy up the women? Trump is a great businessman but I don’t think he’s gonna start the hoe auction anytime soon.
The closest person I can think of capable of pulling off the great dehoeflation is Erik Prince, which is why he is never going to be able to do that (just like pringles would never be able to become a king after hitting the spotlight).
I have repeatedly said there are a lot of good men who are just burned out because they are in despair due to lack of pussy and family mostly. There must be someone out there who realizes the potential of all these young men who only need a good reason to get into action, but where will he come from I wonder.
Individually one can do nothing about defect/defect equilibrium. Remedying it requires collective action, which has become ever increasingly unthinkable. (Though I am old enough to remember a time when defection in love and sex had consequences.)
Defect/defect equilibrium in sex and reproduction means the game of players and bitches. And as an individual, you have no choice but to play the cards you are dealt.
Love is a battlefield, love is war. Even the most successful players suffer burnout. It should not be this way, and it does not have to be this way.