For a very long time I have been predicting war internal and/or external, and/or democide internal for around 2025. Twelve years ago I updated this prediction to sometime around 2026. As yet I see no reason to further modify that prediction, though I have a track record for making predictions on Musk time. We are now a whole lot closer to war external, the imminent fall of Ukraine is likely to result in further escalation and more direct Nato involvement, and there are indications that war internal or democide looms, notably the mass importation of hostile young military age men.
There are two related factors underlying this prediction. The one that I re-iterate the most is that since 1800 or so, anglosphere leftism has been getting ever lefter ever faster. Whenever this happens, and we have been around this merry go round many times, it would culminate in infinite leftism in finite time, as for example in Sichuan province, were it not interrupted by terrible violence as it usually is. Infinite leftism in finite time is everyone kills everyone else for insufficient leftism. Finite leftism is terminated by dictator grabbing absolute power and eliminating those to his right and to his left. Leftism must get ever lefter ever faster, or die as, a shark must swim or drown, so if a rightist dictator grabs power, leftism dies quickly, if a leftist dictator grabs power, it dies slowly, but it still dies.
The other is that a Republic depends on an elite sufficiently virtuous for honest elections. Right now election rigging is so extensive in the west that a peaceful transfer of power is impossible. If peaceful transfer of power is impossible and yet transfer of power happens it is necessary for the winner to eliminate all enemies, suspected enemies, potential enemies, and suspected potential enemies, or else he is unlikely to survive — Julius Caesar’s big mistake.
The Roman Republic leading to Sulla was leftism getting every lefter, the Roman Republic leading to Caesar Augustus was election rigging. Today we have both simultaneously.
Right now, state power is dispersed in numerous difficult to identify hands — the Swamp. If the power to make war and peace is dispersed in too many hands, war is inevitable and unavoidable. So sooner or later, one way or another way, the power to make war and peace will find its way back into a single hand — possibly after the nukes fly. I pray that transfer of power happens before the nukes fly.
Election rigging:
The Butler PA sniper was an obvious FBI asset acting on behalf of the FBI with cover provided by the former head of the secret service — we can be sure of this because of interesting movements of the sniper’s phone, and because of the ensuing cover up. We don’t know that the golf course sniper was acting on behalf of the CIA and state department, but we do know that he is an operative of the CIA and State Department, who was echoing and quoting Kamala Harris’s war rhetoric and political eliminationist rhetoric. For Trump to rule, he is going to have eliminate all these people, or be eliminated as Caesar was. A gun beats five aces. Our enemies played five aces in the 2020 and 2022 elections, and now they are playing guns. The stakes get higher every day. They have been getting higher for two centuries, but now they are getting higher faster.
The lesson of the Roman Republic is that once someone starts cheating on the mechanisms for peaceful transition of power, then there is no alternative to violent transition of power. Normiecon bias is that we can live with just a little bit of cheating. No we cannot.
It rapidly became obvious that enormous numbers of Romans were going to be killed by Romans, and everyone was were trying to avoid that outcome by returning to the old normal. There were endless agreements to return to the old normal, which predictably came to nothing. Everyone wanted the old normal back, as the horrifying alternative drew in sight, but they could not get from where they were to where they wanted to be.
Trump cannot win, no one can win, unless he kills a whole lot of people, and, after killing a whole lot of people, establishes a new mechanism for peaceful transfer of power. But hard to establish a mechanism for peaceful transfer of power if you lack a virtuous elite.
Leftism must get ever lefter, ever faster, as shark must swim or drown
Leftism starts with envy and covetousness. Covetousness is that someone wants to knock over the apple cart to grab some apples. Envy is he just want to knock over the apple cart because he does not have one.
And, given that there are people who want to knock over the applecart, easier and safer to knock it over as part of a gang. So, priests: Someone comes up with a clever rationalisation why knocking over the applecart is wise, virtuous, and beneficial. Then, from priests, to a priesthood. Leftism gives rise to the left as an organised entity with a hierarchy and an official, though frequently changing, belief system.
As each applecart gets taken down, people become excited for new applecarts, and the supposed ideals of leftism abruptly change to something new. Before World War One, the big exciting applecart was Empire, Emperors, and aristocrats, as for example the Austro Hungarian Empire and the British Empire, so nationalism was leftist, and leftists were generally nationalists. After World War II, nationalism was generally rightist. From 1890 to 1980, capitalists and capitalism were the big apple cart. These days, the left is content with corporations continuing to exist, they just want them run by the leftist priesthood. The universities are overproducing dimwitted would be members of the elite, and they want the state to helicopter them into top jobs, and manufacture new top jobs in global warming, Covidianity, diversity, equity, and inclusion. Plus of, course, the faggot left is after other people’s children. And the usual crowd want to resume the 1990s looting and pillaging of Russia, and then get on with looting and pillaging China and Iran.
The only cure is that the proprietors of apple carts subscribe to state religion that takes a firm hand with heretics and apostates.
Leftism is the priestly equivalent of mobile banditry. A leftist priesthood is to a priesthood what a robber baron is to a baron. Mobile banditry is, under some circumstances, a perfectly sound strategy, though under most common circumstances a very wicked strategy, but when the sovereign is falling down on his job, a necessary and justified one.
Leftism tends to arise when the existing official priesthood is weak, cynical, and decadent. And to successfully put leftism down, you need an official priesthood that is strong, sincere, and virtuous.
We have been around this merrygoround many, many times. This is one more time. It will end the same way as all the others.
We saw something strikingly resembling various very recent incarnations of leftism in the eleventh century caliphate, Barebone’s Parliament in England, the Church of Reason in France, the Nicolaitians, the Donatists and the Cathars rapidly transitioning into polyamorous communists, and many others.
It is not driven by technology. It is certainly not driven by capitalism. (Watch Disney burning the IP they spent wads of money on, watch Boeing abandoning its plane and rocket business for diversity, equity, and inclusion.) It is driven by holiness spirals in the priesthood (the modern priesthood being lawyers, judges, academics, and “journalists”.)
Twenty first century western leftism comes out of Harvard. Before the War of Northern Aggression, each of the American states had its own state religion, and the Vatican of New England was Harvard. After the War of Northern Aggression, the United States had one state religion, and its Vatican is still Harvard.
A state is too big to be a tribe, so it needs an elite tribe within the state. But that elite is itself too large to be a natural tribe, so has to be a synthetic tribe – a tribe built on a faith, such as communism, the God that failed. Or the Church of England, as in England from 1660 to 1820.
Every state has a state religion, and no one is allowed into the state or quasi state elite unless they adhere to the state religion. States die when their state religion dies of disbelief, or commits suicide by holiness spiralling. Or both. We are seeing both happen simultaneously now. The ruling tribe becomes incohesive. Covidianity, sodomy, and sexual transition lacks appeal, and people are getting quietly sick of female emancipation, which in practice amounts to men not getting sex, and women not getting husbands and children.