Russia is winning, and the only possible peace settlement is to give them everything that they demand: Freedom and safety for Russian minorities in adjacent countries, Nato pullback from Russian borders, freedom for old type Christianity near Russia – and of course, international recognition of the borders that they claim. All of them.
Anything less is not going to fly, except as a temporary ceasefire to allow for Ukrainian elections, and Russia is not interested in Ukrainian elections unless freedom is first returned to the Ukraine.
The war in the Ukraine is a war of attrition, and progress in a war of attrition is measured not in square kilometres, but in dead bodies. In World War One, Germany was defeated in France, not in Germany. When Germany surrendered in World War One, the surrender temporarily left the German army in control of Belgium and much of France.
The Russian army is recruiting about thirty thousand volunteers a month, and is growing rapidly. The Ukrainian army is dragging about thirty thousand conscripts of the streets a month, and is shrinking rapidly. Russian advances are not the Russian objective. They are rather a consequence of a section of the Ukrainian front line dying, and fresh half trained Ukrainian conscripts being dragged away from their brief training to villages a short distance behind the former front line to establish a new front line. A gap appears in the Ukrainian front line, and the gap is plugged with fresh meat a short distance back from the former front line. The rate of Russian advance is insignificant in terms of area gained. It is significant as a measure of the rate at which Ukrainian front line troops cease to exist. Advance is not the Russian objective, but an inconvenient side effect of the Russian objective.
In the first of this series of posts I said:
The killing and dying could continue for years, but the writing is on the wall. It has been on the wall for some time. The armies of the Ukraine might be able to hold the line for years, and then collapse, or months, and then collapse.
Unfortunately, looks like being years. But not so many years that Trump can kick the can down the road to his successor.
He is going to catch flak if he gives the Russians everything they demand. He is also going to catch flack if the Russians just take everything they demand.
In my previous posts on the topic I predicted the war would probably be over by now. It is not over. I also predicted that if it was not over, Trump would find himself in an Emperor Hirohito situation. He is now in an Emperor Hirohito situation.
No man rules alone. In order to make peace, Emperor Hirohito had to gently assist some high ranking Japanese to voluntarily commit suicide. If Trump has decided to make peace, he is in a similar pickle.
You can start to notice a consistent theme whenever you skim ukrop agitprop outlets on youtube or xitter one month, and check back a month or so later. There is always constant talk about ‘ukrainian attack in XYZ taking PZQ’. And of course, there is never talk about revisiting any issues of past ‘ukrainian attack in XYZ taking PZQ’. Which gives the game away; you attack some place an occupy it for a day, getting your headline for the news cycle. You fall back. And you attack again the next week, to get your next storm of headlines for the news cycle; which fulfills the signal-boosting impressions in the Ukrainian Winning Simulator.
Military strategy as psychotherapy.
Exactly so.
Pro-Azovism is a (death) cult suffering severe cognitive dissonance, hence the psychology of “Nooo! We just need to support them MOAR and give them MOAR weapons and billions of dollars and then *smug faggot face* they will defeat the eBul Russians in like an hour and spread Human Rights Anal Democracy and also how DARE you suggest that they’re destined to lose that’s like so Le Evil of you…”
Just like with the Best Ever Counter-Attack in All Human History that fell flat and fizzled out within a week, and the rest of their very fake and very gay propaganda ops. The cognitive dissonance among Occidental soy-addled Reddit-browsing Azov-fans must be truly jarring, so they’re compelled to come up with increasingly more bizarre, more pathetic, and more desperate explanations for why their beloved Azov Regime is losing — mostly self blame, as typifies cults in decline, also muh Bad Orange Man and muh incel chuds — and ackshually “Here is how they can still win.” Yeah, anyone supporting that Judeo-Nazi Regime at this point, and who is not directly on the CIA’s payroll, should be assumed to suffer any number of mental retardations and defects, and be deemed INCOMPETENT to discuss politics in general.
And outside the Eurocuck and boomercuck demographics, there is indeed scarcely any support for the Azovites. Any other impression is the result of an immense astroturf campaign by the (((usual suspects))).
The European governments are mostly gay demon worshippers propped up by the GAE-in-Exile sitting somewhere in Canada and Britain, and President Trump should absolutely not let them drag him into conflict with Russia, whatever provocations and false flag operations they have planned – and I trust that, indeed, he won’t let the European Satanists (who are backed by Democrat Satanists) drag him any further into a conflict against a white and Christian civilization that also has functioning nukes. It is, moreover, in Western Civilization’s interest to have peace and full reconciliation between America and Russia; and the Eurocucks can and should go to hell if that bothers them.
One quibble about WW1 Germany won WW1 against all the European powers it lost because America entered.
Still, it lost in France, not in Germany.
Sorry to break the seal you have around Putin’s cock, but given Putsy called in and allowed formal DPRK and CN troops, and given Putsy’s diplomatic about face, the West is not going to let those slide and will keep supporting UA, and will eventually send in a standoff defensive line, call it building Berlin Wall 2.0, the US will continue covertly supplying intel.
US and RU will never fully reconcile until RU drops all vestiges of it’s SocCom era, and ditches its relations with the SocCom’s CN and DPRK. The US will make peace with a Tsar, but not with Commies and Belligerant Tyrants.
The west is running out of Ukrainians, and cannot replace them with western troops unless it tosses gay and feminism overboard as it did in 1933.
The Ukrainian army is today far smaller and has far less training and battle experience than it did in 2023. It is heading to zero.
When the Russians interview a prisoner, he was usually dragged off the streets a few months or weeks before he was taken prisoner, and all his comrades are dead.
Inexperienced and untrained brigades are probably over represented among Russian prisoners, so the average Ukrainian soldier probably has more battle experience than the average Ukrainian prisoner, but it cannot be hugely more. The Ukrainian army is all newbies, the Russian army all vets.
The Europeans figure they can only supply fifteen thousand troops, enough for two weeks of the war, and I don’t believe they can supply even that. The European spear has no tip. If they attempt to put a defensive line in the Ukraine, it will consist of camp followers and brass covered bureaucrats. They think they have very few fighting men, and I suspect that the more they look for fighting men, they will find that they do not find any.
They originally said one hundred thousand, which turned into thirty thousand, which turned into fifteen thousand, and I expect fifteen thousand to become a hundred, and that hundred to turn out to be base employees and brass covered bureaucrats.
Russia is preparing for war with Nato, but Nato is not preparing for war with Russia. If we were preparing for war with Russia, we would start with the Russian measures against gay, and the Chinese measures against divorce.
Do you think there are people in the military who are actualling talking about exactly this, with their regular speaking voices, at least privately to each other? You don’t have to prove it to me either way, but what do you think?
Until “Top Gun Maverick”, I’d have said “no way”, but now I’m not so sure. I just couldn’t believe that movie got made. It was like a flying pig or a talking dog. The negro and Mexican fucked up in the end and the white jocks, white lady and white nerd saved the day.
Imfuckingpossible.
Pretty sure the words are being spoken, privately.
You Azovites will be wiped off the face of the Earth. Your best chance, at the moment, is to flee to Poland as refugees; Ukraine (meaning “periphery”) rightfully belongs to Russia, and it will once again be Russian; and there is nothing your fake, gay, and Satanic Judeo-Nazi cult can do about it short of screeching.
Your only support in the whole world comes from trannies, boomers, and tranny boomers on the CIA’s payroll. Quite the company!
The necro-cultist chappie has actually served on a platter the “peace formula” for when the time comes. It’s not that “we lost and the Ukraine is now 70% of its former territory”, it’s rather that on the former front line where Russia decided to stop “we built a mighty fortress-wall to contain the forces of darkness which otherwise would roll like a genocidal tide across the continent to the english channel”.
That’s the off-ramp PR formula. “They wanted to kill us all but we stopped them in their tracks”, as opposed to “yes we lost in the Ukraine and sued for peace”.
Likewise, it’s not that “we can barely all scrape together the equivalent of half a Ukrainian army”, it’s rather “we the elves of light and good joined forces shoulder to shoulder to say no more you shall not pass”. And so on.
On the one hand, any spin that stops the war is welcome, on the other hand, any spin that stops the war without admitting the truth will also be used to enforce further a wider truth-free environment within Europe.
Do we have a good explanation for why the Rona collapsed just as Putin launched his attack? Is the State Department (or miscellaneous deep state) incapable of focusing on two things at once or was the Rona intentionally dropped? Would the State Department (or miscellaneous deep state) be able to continue the Ukraine conflict as it’s forced to defend Taiwan from Chiner?
It seems more likely that the regime wanted to pivot away from the holocough, despite bitter-clinger Karens refusing to let go. There had already been several related trial balloons like the “vax amnesty” op-ed.
Vax politics were causing real no-shit civil unrest, GDP was going down the toilet because no one was going to work, kids and young athletes were dying from Suddenly in front of massive audiences… it was simply untenable.
But the shark cannot stop swimming, else it dies; it can only swim in a different direction. And Muh Russia was a convenient new direction, having been focus-tested in the years of “The Resistance”, and being a perennial favorite of the neocon chickenhawks.
It’s certainly no coincidence that Covidianism collapsed around the same time Kiev became Kyiv, but it’s no very complicated explanation either; they just pivoted from “domestic bogeyman” to “foreign bogeyman”, same as it’s ever been really.
sudden swerve in the path to the left singularity
The awesome might of the Covid demon was incompatible with war, so thrown overboard in the same way and for the same reasons as feminism was thrown overboard in 1933.
Feminism is more deeply entrenched. Next up is gay, after that feminism, after that World War Three.
Our best chance is to have enough threat of World War Three that Thermidor get on board with eradicating gay and feminism, and then avoid World War III.
Or we could administer long distance swimming lessons to the radical left, followed by long distance swimming lessons for Thermidor.
1933 there were some competent people in charge who could identify a problem an then act to solve it. So feminism was thrown overboard. I doubt there are people anywhere near a Western EU government who could identify such a problem today
Current bodycount ratio might even be close to 20:1, judging by number of bodies exchanged. To put it in historical perspective, that was bodycount ratio of Japanese against Americans in later stages of WW2, despite Americans also being in offensive. It is variously called “rout” or “curbstomp”.
The saddest thing of all is seen among all those Ukrainian luvvers, all those “muh Ukraine” retards. If they are so fucking “in luvv” with 404, they should be praying for peace and the end of death for 404’s men and boys. But, if our rulers were ready to accept Jews ruling over Nazis in collaborative project to use Uke meat for achieving victory gay parade in Moskva nad Kijev, I guess they, and their stupid normie peasants, are ready to accept anything. Maybe even nuclear war.
And regarding those normie peasants, I’m still fascinated about near total conversion of covid worshipers to 404 worshipers. From First Mindless Hysteria to Second one. It’s impressive how one can function without brain when sitting in front of TV.
Good comment!
Obviously, the European leaders are a Luciferian Death Cult passionately, furiously seeking the destruction of Western Civilization and the absolute extermination of the white race, by any and all means; but do European normies (who aren’t boomers) actually buy into the Muh Ukreiiin propaganda?
Honestly, one of the healthiest things one can do for one’s psyche is to throw away the television. Endless propaganda machine filling heads with infinity bullshit. Everything on television is fake, and usually stupendously gay too. It’s best to physically remove it from your life.
Not that many of them buy that much propaganda, but those that do… oh my.
I mean, here and there, where the elections are still at least somewhat meaningful, you can see that majority of normies are actually not fond of dying for victory gay parades in Moskva and Kijev. Fico, that guy in Romania, even Milanović in my country – they are all lefties from 50 years ago who became popular mostly thanks to promise to never again engage their folks in wars between foreign powers. Milanović almost got voted in first round, almost, and then in second round resoundingly won against cuckservative candidate, thanking conservative and rights voters in the process. 🙂
The rage of 404 lovers was deafening.
Removing TV is easy. But, almost the same effect has default news app (or something like that) on Android smartphones, I guess it’s Google News or something. Giant lies factory. And even older people use smartphones, and always with default settings and apps. They are full of rage against journalists, but default news app on Android smartphones are somehow Holy Scripture. Go figure.
I think having at least one mainstream television channel or internet news site that forcefully questions the Official Narrative goes a long way towards breaking the spell that the prog journo-cult has on the audience. When there is only one narrative, and supposedly “everyone agrees” with it completely, it’s psychologically difficult to question it; once you allow at least two competing narratives — assuming they really are competing — then the Thinking Man starts thinking more seriously indeed. Fox News may be Controlled Opposition; but ultimately it’s still better to have it than not to have it, because if Serious Expert X strongly disagrees with Serious Expert Y about topic Z, then eventually the viewer might figure out that he is allowed to strongly disagree with all so-called Experts about any subject whatsoever.
Anyway, younger people should just get most of their news from Elon’s Xitter. All the interesting action is there, anyway.
It shouldn’t even be that hard its not like they make good TV anymore. This isn’t the 90s when you had vintage Simpsons and lots of other great shit now it just all kind of sucks.
Yeah, I got rid of my TV, but I’m not exactly a typical person. But it really is easy; there is nothing worth watching there, mainstream culture has become absolutely and utterly lame, and except for nostalgia (ewww *vomit*), there just is no reason to sit in front of that screen. Well, okay, I guess sports fans, e.g. the soccer folks, who gather together to watch games and drink beer, might derive a certain benefit from it; but if you and your friends are not into any sports-watching subculture, there is literally no reason to keep it.
The subcontinent is slowly rising to boiling point. Dharmics may well be forced into hot war with the desert cult sooner than later and it is likely to be a nuclear war.
Unfortunately we have few allies ready to back us unconditionally.
Putin is a better ally for Bharat than Trump at the moment, since CIA still apparently controls American foreign policy in this part of the world. China also has too many interests in Pakistan to stand by the sidelines.
I’ve been saying all along that any Muslims having nukes is a bad idea, and while everyone is focused on Iran, what about Pakistan, which already has nukes? But people refuse to use their common sense, and if the Talking Heads on television don’t talk about Pakistan’s nuclear program, then as far as the sheeple are concerned, the problem is non-existent. But of course the problem is existent, and eventually the Pakis are likely to use their nukes against somebody.
If I were PM rather than Bibi, I’d try to help you out some way. Alas, Bibi is unlikely to be of any help here, as he is busy pursuing “peace in the Middle-East,” and he spent decades complaining about the Iranian threat while completely neglecting the Pakistani threat – AWKWARD. Now, as for Putin, usually I shill for him, but I think that he is far too indebted to the Chinese to help you out in this case; he won’t risk alienating them for Bharat’s sake.
So yeah, you are pretty much alone in this. But I don’t know; perhaps God will be with you. When I don’t troll the trolls (or troll with the trolls), I actually like your civilization. But unfortunately I do expect Pakistan’s nukes to be the Black Swan Event that in retrospect people will say, “Duh, Mossadnik from Jim’s blog was right about this issue – of course the Desert Cult would go BOOM!” Good luck.
Israel is also likely to support India in some way, even if not directly. I think Under Modi, India has got closer to Israel. And we have imported Israeli military equipment as well as training in the past.
Unfortunately, I don’t think Israel has much of an independent foreign policy either.
Yes, likely we are alone in this.
We support you.. with our hearts.
But yeah, being America’s little bitch, even if our leadership sought to pursue a foreign policy characterized by far greater testosterone, as it most definitely should, Uncle Sam the Top Dawg wouldn’t really let us.
I do expect the ties to strengthen, as both of our countries gradually go in a Based direction. Military cooperation should certainly increase. Provided, of course, that the GAE-in-Exile CIA Shadow Government won’t successfully Color Revolution the leader in either country, as it is wont to do; and provided local leftists won’t use the Judicial Tyranny to achieve the same goal.
Probably, but pre-emptively nuking them sets a dangerous precedent.
I expect we will fight nuclear wars eventually. I don’t think it will be civilisation ending. It might motivate people do the stuff the concert of Europe did.
I don’t advocate nuking Pakistan (or Iran), but isn’t there a more conventional military way to dismantle a nuclear weapons program, even if it’s well developed and functional? I believe it’s possible to destroy the facilities without using nukes yourself, but admittedly I’m not an expert on this topic.
Back when India and Pakistan didn’t have nukes or cruise missiles etc, the low-tech conflicts killed like 3 000 000 (three million) civilians.
Now we will see if higher tech deterrence works on aryan darkies as well as on germanic and slavic whites and east asians. Sometimes you gotta have the option to utterly exterminate each other, in order to stop exterminating each other.
In this specific portion of the space political it’s not even about who is a Mohemmedan and who isn’t. The Japs in WWII were not, yet their behavior on conquered territories was the real version of what WWII Germans tend to be accused of. Pol Pot in Cambodia was no Mohammedan. Current necro-cult nazis in the Ukraine are not Mohammedan.
Authentic monotheism = authentic patriarchy; authentic patriarchy = fertility. Today we have cosplay patriarchy in Iran (minuscule 1.6 fertility) and authentic patriarchy in Afghanistan (5 kids per woman). Obviously, Iran is a secular quasi-Soviet society cosplaying as a monotheistic and patriarchic society, but the underlying reality measured by fertility gives everything away. Just like India being among the world leaders in abortion gives certain games away.
Pakistan’s fertility is 3.1; which is the equivalent to the USA in 1964 — hardly an example of a fanatical monotheistic society.
Other social matrixes exist that result in high fertility: tribal such as in negro Africa, and in the near past in South America, and in various parts of pagan Asia (also mostly in the past, with the exception of a couple of regions in India such as Bihar and Meghalaya), the point is not that only monotheistic patriarchy produces high fertility, but that it’s one of its core elements, and if that is missing, then its neither patriarchic nor monotheistic.
Pakistan may not be as fake as Iran in this regard, but it’s getting there.
Edit: the Indian state of Meghalaya is not one of the last existing examples of pagan Asian high fertility — I assumed things.
It is apparently instead one of the last existing examples of Christian Asian high fertility.
The question is whether in this most Current of Years it’s declining, staying the same, or increasing. Khazaria’s fertility is around similar territory, but the crucial point is that, as the country is becoming more deeply religiously observant by the year (whatever one may or may not think about said religion), the TFR is increasing.
And that is the question regarding Pakistan at the moment; will its fertility rate continue to decline, as it has been declining for decades, or stabilize on the current relatively healthy level, or even reverse the declining trend and start increasing. For comparison, Afghanistan’s fertility has also been declining for decades, despite it being “urrrrr so fanatical.”
I really don’t like Orthodox Judaism (or any Judaism, really), but seeing those families with their 6-7 kids on average — white looking kids, by the way, though they should not be considered TRVE Aryans — I gotta give ’em credit where it is due. They have plenty of fertile sex, and healthy family structures.
Good point. Here’s the data on Pakistan’s fertility over time.
https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/PAK/pakistan/fertility-rate
Accelerating decline over the last 45 years, still half a statistical child away from crossing into non-replacement.
The most recent data for Afghanistan is 2022, when it was 4.52 children born per woman. And that data is not actually post Taliban data. It is pre Taliban data that was released in 2022.
The subsequent numbers are projections.
My projection is that it has been rising and is going to rise. The rural population was reproducing, the urban population was failing to reproduce. Now that the cities are ruled by people of the same culture as rural areas, I expect urban fertility to rise to near rural fertility levels.