The current strategy of the war faction of Thermidor is to fight the war to the last Ukrainian in order to attrit Russia.
Trump is obviously unhappy with this strategy, but the war faction, Marco Rubio, tell him that Russia is suffering huge enormous stupendous gigantic colossal casualties, so if we keep going just a tiny teensy weeny little little bit longer the Russians will concede better peace terms than they are now offering.
On the other hand hand, if we and Russia keep going at it bit longer, we will reach the last Ukrainian, and the political fallout from the disappearance of a European American client state is likely to be worse the Afghanistan retreat. The war faction strategy is likely to leave egg all over Trump’s face, and may well be intended to do so. Undoubtedly many recent recruits from the Deep State to Maga are chafing at Trump actually doing the job of president. They would much prefer to do that job themselves. “Oh Trump disastrously $@%#& up the Ukraine war, so he should leave this sort of thing to the experts”
The actual casualties on both sides are covered by fog of war, but we have some indicators of the ratio of Russian to Ukrainian casualties.
1. Russians are fighting a war of attrition, where the objectives are to maximise the cost in blood and treasure to the enemy, and minimise one’s own expenditure of blood and treasure. They only advance when they run out of Ukrainians opposing them on the front, whereupon they advance until they find some more Ukrainians willing to form a new front, and they retreat when the situation becomes unfavourable. We see lots of videos of four Russians on motorcycles taking a system of bunkers and trenches.
The Ukrainians, on the other hand, are fighting a war for bullet points in the next Washington power point presentation. In so far as their tactics make any sense, they make sense only in a war of maneuver, and this is not a war of maneuver.
2. Far more shells, rockets, and bombs are landing on the Ukrainian front lines, than are landing on the Russian front lines.
3. There are far more Russians on the front line than Ukrainians, which means that every individual Ukrainian on the front line is getting shot at by lots of Russians, while Russians on the front line are getting shot at by fewer Ukrainians.
4. The Russian army is obviously growing. Despite fog of war, we can see that the Ukrainian army is obviously shrinking.
Under these conditions, Putin is unlikely to offer easier peace conditions, and as the Ukrainian army continues to shrink, is likely to offer harsher conditions.
If Trump accepts current Russian peace terms, there will be a great deal of outrage and indignation. If he accepts even worse Russian peace terms next month, even more outrage and indignation, and if the war continues to the last Ukrainian, he is going to get blamed for that by both the war faction and the peace faction even more.
https://x.com/TuckerCarlson/status/1940515035090243862
This is an interesting interview of someone who I imagine to be a voice of Thermidor. He describes how insanely difficult it is to become an elite warrior, but at some point he says [*Does he say that?*]
Does he say that? I have always found your reports of what people say somewhat strange. I would have allowed this comment through if you had given me a timestamp in the video so that I could check what he is actually saying.
It’s near the end, at 1:51 and he says it’s all who believe in God, not Christians. About 5%. But he’s Catholic now. Good people who lack the fullness of truth eventually become Christian after looking back at the life they lived, which says a lot, but I just filled in the part that was not said by either him or Tucker. And they probably don’t even know. And no one else here does either, because you censored it.
I’ll say it again. Insanely hard entrance requirements (SEALS, Ivy League, Wall Street, it’s all of them) are designed to select for cheaters and discriminate against Christians. Honest hard work becomes a liability if it means you’re one of the last people to learn how to cheat. But in the case of SEALS, in very dark situations, the cheating becomes a “bonus” because atheists are willing to commit atrocities that Christians won’t. In a Wall Street context it usually means money laundering and tax evasion of course. In academia, it’s stealing inventions from nerds with autism. Elite = cheat.
So my fundamental axiom I have acquired from thinking like this, is that leftism and sortition are valuable tools in the tool box for breaking apart pathological, excessive competition that is ultimately designed to hurt Christians who play by the rules. Lean on real quantity, rather than fake quality. And you might even learn that quantity has a quality of its own.
Low IQ tribes, by the way, simply have to reproduce the most to fill out their leadership caste. But they have just as many leaders as any other tribe (think Dunbar limit). But they’re bigger. Size matters. Not just intelligence. And we as Christians refuse to abort our babies with mental disabilities. Or for any reason at all. Thus, low average IQ. Just, put it all together.
And if I had been able to look up your quote, buried in a two hour video, I probably still would have censored it because I would have found, in context, a different meaning for what was unsaid.
You have a habit of filling in people’s positions for them. So I always suspect foul play, and always censor you unless I can check what they actually said. And when I can look up what they said, I usually censor you because I interpret them contrary to your paraphrase.
Nuts. He really passed those tests, and everyone around him really passed those tests, and we know he really did, because we know what he and the rest of his team actually did.
They were tests of toughness and character, and there is no shortage of people that tough who have that character.
I can smell lies and half truths pretty well. He is improving on his story quite a bit, but it is substantially true. He really is like that, and his team really is like that. What he said is not exactly true, but it is full of truth. He improved on his quite q bit story, but it is true in substance. The navy seal tests are in fact selecting for the people they intend to select for.
In a near maximally strenuous job that involves facing death at any moment, I’m guessing 99% to 99.9% should believe in God, though the Taliban would say more like 99.9% to 99.99%. So when I hear that only 5% believe, I smell a pack of rats. Frauds. Grifters. Con artists putting on a show.
And I think they gave him a real mission because they could tell he was one of the good ones who made it through legitimately. His reward in this government/world is being sent on a near suicide mission, and his guardian angels made sure he came out alive anyway. Probably only killed a body double though, a third rate actor. The real OBL is either dead or enjoying his nice CIA retirement, if the real OBL was ever a thing…
But this isn’t how it ends for runaway meritocracy as a system. The cheaters win in the end. The good guys all die in strange Asian countries chasing ghosts. The leftist mob grows tired of not being given a chance to win power by means of objective merit rather than subjective opinion, like a brilliant philosopher making Harvard Catholic by writing world changing essays. The philosophers notice that institutions are not changed by essay writing. And they increasingly hang out with the leftist mob.
You know how this ends.
We don’t have runaway meritocracy. They have been dumbing down the university entrance exam since 1875, and the average IQ of university students is now equal to the average IQ of people who do not go to university.
>But this isn’t how it ends for runaway meritocracy as a system. The cheaters win in the end.
AF, you need to figure out better what is relevant to what. This is a real thing, but it is real at a university in South Korea. The West simply does not have this problem. Not in a major way. Yes, everybody knows there is some level of an Asian exam-system gaming industry, yes, but on the whole, the main system, the truly important parts, are not meritocratic at all, and runaway meritocracy is not in any way a main problem for the West at all.
Dharmicreality made me remember – I used to know this – that corruption is actually a remedy to a screwed up socialist state religion, and exam-gaming, to the extent it exists, it is the same. It just teaches us to not worship exams, because they are mostly irrelevant. Exams are another kind of a socialist state religion.
Going more meta… if you want to condemn people for selfish uncouth behaviour… think twice. Selfish uncouth behaviour is often better than the socialist state religion. It is often more deep down honest. If the exam system sucks, someone buying their way through it while ridiculing it all along is better than when someone believes in it with a religious zeal. As in my above example, if a building permit (Italy) takes 6 months, and it is completely bullshit, yes buying it in two weeks with a thousand bucks is better. Same thing for exam-gaming.
Anonymous Fake: runaway meritocracy
Jim: We don’t have runaway meritocracy.
Incredibly, even though AF knows that everyone on this blog is wise to his tricks – in this case, slipping in an outrageous falsehood among a bunch of other stuff, hoping people won’t notice – he repeatedly tries those same tricks anyway.
Tucker is increasingly open about positioning himself to the right even of Trump on some issues. Is he only building his interview business, trying to be the Rush Limbaugh of the new media landscape, or is there an option of a presidential run, outflanking Vance with his administration baggage?
And whichever way the above question is answered, is he trying to nurture a new voter bloc for actual results, or is his role to keep the plebs sated by throwing them red meat without any actual deliverables? The new Rush Limbaugh would be an apt metaphor for the latter.
These would be interesting conversations to have with someone who wasn’t AF. If you must wedge issue, at least pick a good one.
Tucker cannot be trusted completely. Trump was all set to refuse to even declare an emergency over the fake and gay covid virus and the rest of the right would have fallen into line. It was Tucker’s discordant voice early on that prevented this. Tucker is generally good but on that occassion he was disastorous.
The big lie on the Ukraine is still being shouted through every megaphone, though it is no longer a thought crime to doubt it.
“Putin is a dictator,” “The Ukraine is a democracy.” “The Ukraine is winning, winning, winning.” “Putin will fall” — meaning Russia will fall and the carpetbaggers will be able to resume the looting of Russia.
The “winning” narrative makes peace negotiation impossible, because Trump either believes it, and makes utterly unrealistic demands, or fears the reaction from the self deluded should he make realistic demands. Or perhaps something of both.
Tucker cannot counter the “winning” narrative, because of his interview form.
He has done a little to counter the Dictator/Democracy narrative.
Tucker cannot be trusted completely. … [covid]
Yeah fair point.
Tucker may even be a literal glowie. He’s got the family connections, and acknowledges a failed, or “failed,” application to the CIA in his young days. I’ve said that before in other contexts, and didn’t want to beat a dead horse, but it would have been relevant here.
With the very major failure of selling Trump on lockdowns and vaccines, and the possible glowing, Tucker being anointed to get out ahead of a crowd that can’t otherwise be defused is a real possibility. But I’m also wondering (over-optimistically?) if there’s any chance it’s a first step towards elite defection.
My read on Tuck is that he is indeed a glownigger, but he has spiritually defected onto our side. You can see when he talks about Amerikaaner proles, he struggles emotionally. He identified with the EducatedTM bureaucracy sect until something shook him out of it, and now he almost feels dishonest when speaking honestly, because it goes against a lifetime of programming.
I do believe that, regardless his origins, he is now spiritually on side. His one talk about the Russian upper class all being champagne socialists right up until the real reds killed them en mass, and how America was now there in that very state, that was a thought crime. Someone still fully possessed by leftism would not be able to make such a connection and then vocalize it as he did.
“application to the CIA in his young days”
Admittedly that I am not an expert on US politics or anything, but let’s think about this. Conservatives used to be simply patriots. This meant that in practice, whatever beefs they had with the USG in internal politics, they 100% supported it in foreign politics. Given that back then (1980’s ? ) the CIA could be trusted to uphold the law that they do not operate inside the US, trying to join the CIA was simply patriotic.
I have read some Tom Clancy novels, which are really the epitome of of NormieConservatism (and not even well written, but works for an airport). This was the same. 1990 mindset, CIA = patriotism.
NormieCons used to have this interestingly split-brain mindset that in internal matters, the government is absolutely not the nation, and in some, many ways hostile or opposed to it, but in foreign policy the government is the nation and every patriot supports everything it does.
This is not even surprising, it is a fairly normal case of hierarchical loyalties, like the Arab saying, me and my brother against my cousin, my and my cousin against the world. Their cousin was the USG.
Tucker sings a different tune these days as this clip suggests:
https://x.com/TheChiefNerd/status/1944509884017569825
He tried, after the 2020 election fraud, to walk the Narrative highwire while maintaining some virtue. Didn’t work too well for him.
Tucker cannot be trusted completely.
.
Tucker was friends with Hunter Biden. whether or not you think he might be trustworthy now he certainly was not at the beginning of his career.
Would the war end if Trump were to accept those terms? My impression is that Western Europe would keep supporting Ukraine to fight to the last Ukrainian.
The Ukrainian Nazis will do what they are told.
By who is the question…
Indeed it is.
5. Both Ukrainian and Russian sources agree the Russians are massively outproducing war making materials compared to what the Ukrainians can get. Most importantly, this includes drones, the main method of inflicting casualties. Last report I saw was mutual agreement Russia is outproducing by a factor of 6 to 1, and that was probably a year ago. All indications point to the Russian government having extensively ramp up production.
As a committed Mossad agent, I’d like to apologize for Jeffrey Adolf Epstein soaping and lampshading those 8 gorillion innocent teenage prostitutes.
It’s regretful how much oxygen Epstein sucks up over on The Donald. Before that, though, the Israel-Iran squabble elicited much Manichean noise. Shills gotta shill with something. Ruined the anniversary meme-ing of the first assassination attempt against Trump somewhat today.
Well, I can believe we provided “Lady” Lindsey Graham with male prostitutes, but then again, he seems like a genuinely unhinged warmonger everywhere on the globe (I bet he masochistically enjoys getting severely beaten by those male prostitutes, who might even be black), not exclusively an Iran hawk, so do we really need to blackmail him? This “Israeli honeytrap” narrative could well be itself a CIA psyop. But of course I would say that.
Of all the things to attack Trump for, why this? You’d think that if Trump was involved, some leftist would have leaked it by now. This whole thing is coming off as manufactured controversy.
Probably at least some of the loud kvetching is an astroturf by foreign governments who seek to undermine Trump, boosted by Musk’s algorithms because His Sperginess unfortunately fell for the “pedophilia” hostile meme (and with all due respect to ketamine insights, only readers of this blog tell it like it is) and also possibly seeks himself to undermine Trump.
I doubt too many Real Americans give a flying fuck about this latest and lamest iteration of pizzagate, which — not altogether unlike covid worship in the previous Trump Administration — serves primarily the interests of your hegemonic rival, Chyyyna.
Friends and family see it as a reason to distrust Trump. They’ve independently brought it up. It’s not a particularly big wedge issue, but it is a little cut. You can only take so many of those little cuts, and this one is being pushed not long after the Iran affair, which no ordinary Joe was happy to see either.
Don needs to wrangle the glowniggers before they strangle him next.
Whoever is pushing this on the public doesn’t want to see America Made Great Again, and doesn’t want red-blooded military-age male Trump supporters to sign up with ICE to expel those beaners.
Please, by all means go use the megaphone, if you have one.
The issue is, this is a normie plausible storyline for Don being irretrievably stuck in the swamp. So of course they push it, it works. Don would have been better off yelling about how disappointed he was in Kash and whomever else, then moving on to the next thing, than the delivery we did end up getting on it. Instead we got him wagging his finger at the public, saying something along the lines of “why do you care”, and doubling down on the glownigger line. It was indeed a misstep, however small, and our enemies are pouncing on it.
I personally do not care, except that the glowniggers are still out and about wrecking the world as they please, and lying to our faces about it. I would have liked King Don to wear the crown and do something about the problem of lying scheming glowniggers. Everyone would have.
Trump is not irretrievably stuck in the swamp. Obviously. The swamp tried to murder him twice, and he was massively betrayed the first time around.
But he is unable to abolish the swamp with a wag of his finger. He is still making the mistake that Hitler did not make, and trying to rule through the swamp.
Hitler had his own people, and Trump does not have his own people, and has not seriously tried to create his own organisation.
Epstein files, failure to take public video of Fort Knox (it is increasingly obvious that the gold has mysteriously evaporated) and putting Marco Rubio in charge of the Ukraine all reveal weakness. There is some substantial truth in the normie narrative that he is just another swamp critter or irretrievable stuck. Remember Covid.
If he does not confront the swamp on the Ukraine, it is going to be a disaster for him — the swamp is set on expending the Ukraine to attrit Russia, and then blaming Trump for the ensuing debacle, then sending a few more nations into the meat grinder — probably Lithuania and Poland with a conflict they start over Kaliningrad. This is a betrayal led by Marco Rubio.
After the last Ukrainian, the last Pole and Lithuanian. But, if Trump fails again, I expect this operation to be interrupted by civil war or nuclear war. As we get closer to the left singularity, expect the unexpected. California is already in state of insurrection, and some members of the Trump cabinet are willing to use that word, but Trump is not, and Newscum is not.
Trump has two crises on his plate, the Ukraine and the insurrection, and so far everyone agrees to deal with both crises by pretending them away. Supposedly what is happening in the Ukraine is a stalemate, because the lines are not moving much. Not a stalemate, a war of attrition, and in attrition the lines do not move much, until one side capitulates or its army is gone.
On the Ukraine, he has to accept the Russian peace terms before they become more severe. On California, he has to arrest the insurrectionists at the top. This will be easier to get away with after the New York election, so stalling is a reasonable tactic. Let us pray it is only stalling, and only a tactic.
When Ice hit a part of the Democrat’s child trafficking operation, Ice found itself cut off and surrounded, but things did not escalate all the way to lethality — one of the insurrectionists fired a gun, then ran away, then no one else fired any guns. So there is still some excuse for not saying “Insurrection” yet. But things are escalating. Recall an obese member of congress body slamming a cop. I said things would escalate, and now one of Newscum’s men has fired a gun — ineffectually, but it still a gun.
Conflicts over sovereign authority will escalate until decisively resolved.
>…you could see Baron thinking it immediately after the shot was fired…
Barron was not present at the Butler rally. He was playing tennis.
“Barron was not present at the Butler rally. He was playing tennis.”
The MSM, even months after the event, certainly wanted to establish this narrative in various articles, according to two quick searches just now. Perhaps he was or wasn’t, but it was a powerful meme at the time.
I recall seeing Baron in videos of the assassination.
Are normies going to say, “Sure, I’d like to support Trump for physically removing the illegals off our communities, but uh-oh he might or might not have been naughty and hung up with the wrong people some decades ago, welp then, guess I’ll just forget about the whole agenda and everything I actually voted for?” Are you sure these are normies who think this way and not terminally online autistic groidpers? The heck is going on in America?
You’re not listening, you are blaring the megaphone at me. If you want to beat the drum, by all means, go do so. But do so among normies who may be swayed.
I clearly want Don to speak some words of power and deputize me and others like to deport millions of almost human apes via a large cannon. He is not. He is making the first term mistakes all over again, and his coalition has fallen to pieces.
I question whether normies actually care about this stuff; my assumption is that deportations are a far, far higher priority among normies than anything related to Epstein. And I believe that’s a pretty solid assumption. Now, if the deportations don’t work out, demonstrating an absolute lack of authority on Trump’s part, that’s an actual problem.
I answered this in my very first reply on this issue
Yes. Normies do indeed care, because this is a clear swamp victory, and it’s demotivating. For all the ICE bluster, day to day has not changed here. I am in a rural heartland town, and walking through the neighborhood, and there are a few houses stuffed full of thirdies living on top of each other, and the kids on the little neighborhood playground are half foreign. People care, but the results are not showing. Truth on the Epstein case and mass deportation were both campaign promises. Both are important, in that the glowniggers allowed to continue lying and scheming is going to lead to another huge problem set, but the mass deportation is more immediately existential.
The Epstein thing is important to normies because it is one of the surface level topics they can somewhat understand, crooked elites doing things they could never get away with, and having every organization run massive cover for crooked elites doing things they could never get away with. So when they see the man that is campaigning on reigning in the crooked elites, on top of dealing with the existential threats, then backing the glowniggers on The Offical NarrativeTM, they are annoyed and disheartened.
We here are more concerned about the coming war external and internal, but normies cannot really cognize such things. They feel it, but it doesn’t leave their brains and mouths in coherent threads. They are concerned about the daily talking points, and the daily talking points haven’t been Donald firmly grasping the scepter.
Well, can’t argue with reports from the ground. I do predict that this will no longer be a prominent topic in the discourse within a few news cycles. (And the glowies no doubt will find some other things to amplify.) Whether or not this was a test that Trump failed, there will certainly be far more crucial tests, which he must not fail.
The Issue isn’t that we didn’t get the Epstein list, the issue is that Trump and his team said they would give it to the public, said they would release it, and then “poof”, they have done a 180 on the whole thing.
One of the most important things is for people to be able to trust their leader. This fiasco gives people a legitimate reason to doubt that Trump and his team can be trusted going forward. Making a promise, and then breaking it is worse then never making it at all. (Matthew 21:28-32 is a set of verses that cover this.)
Jim has stated in the past that “The people are willing to die for their king, because the king is willing to die for his people.”
The Epstein List Fiasco tells me (and the normies*) that Trump is not willing to die for the people.
(*though to the normies, it is more unconscious than conscious.)
Come on, surely normies remember that he was literally injured by a bullet, which almost splattered his brains out, for the People a year ago. Don’t you remember it? “Fight fight fight” and all that?
If normies actually lost the ability to tell the truly important things from the, uhh, more dubious ones, that’s a worrisome sign of mass psychosis.
Also, expecting “a list” is beyond retarded. The interesting thing is the actual incriminating material: videos of politicians banging those whores. If you don’t have that — and you probably don’t have that — then you have nothing. “A list of names” won’t provide you with anything useful, and expecting such a thing is utterly idiotic.
Just because a king nearly gets killed doesn’t mean the king is willing to die for his people.
A few weeks ago, I personally would have still favored that Trump would be the leader we need, because of the assassination attempts. (A bullet through the ear ought to clarify things a bit.) However, I don’t think that most people seem to remember that. Normality bias is hell of a drug.
I think the main reason normies care so much about “The Epstein List” is the massive hysteria hate boner for pedophilia. The hysteria is so strong, that when you bring up that the youngest that the court case confirmed was 14, they try to tell you that it was covered up or some shit. The Qanon shit really took some of this to the next level, if I recall.
I agree, expecting “a list” is pretty retarded. I’m not sure where people got the idea that a list of name from a flight log would be enough to incriminate. It’s a coup complete issue. Under the current system, it would not be enough evidence, and the corruption would protect itself. After a Good King is in charge, no list is needed to incriminate them, their crimes are already sky high.
For me, it isn’t about “the list”, it’s about how much the Trump team promised it, and claimed it would happen, and then are now pretending that they never said or did any of that. Two faced individuals can’t be trusted. The J6ers are still locked up. At this time, risking one’s life for Trump seems like a poor choice.
If he nearly gets killed and sticks at it nonetheless, is willing to die for his people.
It is obvious now, and you could see Baron thinking it immediately after the shot was fired, that the head of the secret service was in on this assassination attempt.
Trump did not think that at the time, though Baron thought that the time, but when Trump subsequently showed up with his ear bandaged, you could see he had figured it out and was considering chickening out. He did not chicken out, though he was wobbling badly. When he continued, he showed willingness to die for his people.
Fair points. However, if Trump doesn’t actually have the goods (a list of flight logs isn’t it), and has not yet completed the coup, then there’s simply no way for him to satisfactorily address the Epstein case, at least not yet. To dwell on this issue right now is to alienate members of his coalition with no tangible benefits, so understandably he doesn’t want to dwell on it.
They’re doing it because they know nothing will come of it. You have to remember that the same people making hay out of ‘Trump is scared of the Epstein Files’ now were the people who were in control of them in the first place.
There’s a whole lot of people who could be embarrassed by the kompromat Epstein’s handlers collected. And Trump is not one of them. And many of them are Trump’s ‘allies’ in the thermidorean coalition, so they are leaning on this, because it is really about them, not Trump.
This really seems the most obvious explanation of what is going on. Talk about how Trump himself must be involved is dumb, for that was the reason Epstein was arrested by the Democrat-led FBI in the first place. They didn’t find anything back then, they won’t find anything now.
Yet undeniably there is an aspect of ‘when making deals with the swamp, one must be careful not to become the swamp.’
Just saw this twit:
https://x.com/FischerKing64/status/1944526866121204074
Hmmm, interesting ideas indeed.
Jimianity soon going mainstream.
I was hoping Trump would simply end the weapons shipments and let Ukraine collapse, particularly after Zelensky’s disastrous white house visit. In retrospect, this was unrealistic zigger hopium.
Seems like Trump is stuck between a rock and a hard place:
-He has a large unstable ruling coalition and ending Ukraine support will shift parts of Thermidor back to the dems. His margins are thin enough that he can’t afford to lose any support.
-Continuing to arm and aid Ukraine is against the spirit of what he ran on and a waste of money, weapons and lives.
-SBU already tried to kill Trump using a mentally ill hohol teenager in Wisconsin. If he actually stops the flow of weapons, expect them to try that again 100 more times.
-Given the insane frothing at the mouth Russophobia throughout Europe, I wouldn’t be surprised if MI6 and others would give them a hand.
-Trump wants America to look strong and powerful on the world stage and there’s really no way for the US to back out of Ukraine without it looking like a humiliating capitulation.
So unfortunately it appears that Trump will just maintain the status quo and it’ll all be settled on the battlefield.
Settling it on the battlefield through war of maneuver would be a fine outcome. Settling it on the battlefield through war of attrition means exterminating nearly all male Ukrainians. And that will not settle it. The people who fed in the Ukraine to attrit Russia are preparing to feed in Poland and Lithuania.
Settling it on the battlefield in war attrition means annihilation. That is going to look a great deal worse. And it will settle nothing. Even if Russia kills every Ukrainian, Polish, and Lithuanian man, woman child that will settle nothing. The war will not end until the Globohomo agrees that it ends, or until the nukes fly. This was never a war between the Ukraine and Russia, and will not be a war between Poland and Russia, nor between Germany and Russia. It always was a war between Globohomo and Russia using Ukrainian cannot fodder. And already Globohomo is organising fresh supplies of cannon fodder for when they run out of Ukrainians.
Globohomo is not agreement capable. Trump does not rule globohomo. Either he destroys globohomo or globohomo kills him and his family.
What can Trump do? At most, he can stop US support of Ukraine. I doubt he could prevent UK and most Western European countries from supporting Ukraine. If he could, he would rule globohomo. It doesn’t look like he rules globohomo.
You argued that the Ukrainian Nazis will do what they are told. Indeed, they are doing what they are told, but would they do what Trump tells them if globohomo tells them something different? Maybe they would, if Trump kills enough of those who do not do what he tells them, but sofar Trump has not done much killing and not even done much arresting.
I see Ukraine as a problem that Trump can only solve after he has taken power in the US, probably not even then if the US empire retreats and stops ruling Western Europe.
Unfortunately, and totally disappointing, Mr. Trump will not Make America Great Again (nor pull “The West” or rest of the world in MAGA’s wake). He does not play 4D chess, and does not know how to play chess at all.
The Forever Wars will continue, and supposed “victories” that should have ended those wars will be forgotten faster than you say Epstein so new “victories” will be needed. And for the first time I’m getting really concerned about sending Poles, Romanians, and others (Me and my sons? Young Germans and Americans?) to the meat grinder of the Eastern Steppes, against the country that hasn’t done anything against us, formally for country that hasn’t done anything for us.
And no, “Jesuits” did not whisper all that to his ears, nor anybody else. It was his choosing, and his associates in the US government. He could’ve MAGA, and bring humanity to the stars, but he chooses The Forever War.
Yes, bringing USAID down was great, and if I was an American, those few deportations would look good to me, but guess what – the Americans are still on their way of loosing America, and The Forever War is quite a good replacement for USAID. Money laundering scheme but through different channels. Not NGOs, but military-industrial complex > overpriced weapons to corrupt EU cronies > all that to the 404 black hole, and soon the others, from Israel to Taiwan. Why would just Americans bear the costs of maintaining Globo-Homo Empire? Few executive orders here and there that reversed some policies to the saner leftism of the Eighties are not nearly enough of making any difference, anywhere.
There’s no point in “kissing his ring” because he does not actually offer such kissing. It was fun watching leftards and progs losing their mind over Trump, but fun is over now. It was actually naive to expect something different from a fisher in Rubicon.
I’d like to be wrong.
You are telling us that nothing ever changes. The “nothing ever changes” brigade has been wrong every year for two centuries. Your luck is not going to improve.
Leftism has to get ever lefter.
And right now we see leftism going full speed ahead getting lefter, as for example the Mayor of Los Angeles, the about to be Mayor of New York, the federal judiciary, and Harvard.
Thermidor wants to stabilise at 2016 leftism. Trump likes 1980s leftism. He is not a swamp critter, he is not a tool of Thermidor, but he suffers from the same error.
You cannot stabilise leftism at year X.
You have to put it down like a mad dog.
If Trump stops leftism from getting lefter, it dies, as a shark must swim or drown. Its death struggles are getting interesting, and will likely get considerably more interesting.
They might win, in which case we continue onwards to the seven kill stele. They will probably lose. The conflict is likely to intensify. But if Thermidor wins, the left dies, and then what is currently unthinkable and impossible will suddenly become possible and thinkable.
What is not going to happen is that we just continue at current levels of leftism and current levels of forever war. The war will be settled, as leftism dies, or go nuclear, as it lives.
I have often said that to make peace in the Ukraine, Trump must first send tanks into Harvard. Since he is making a start on Harvard, I am not too worried about the peace negotiations.
As first & as I said, from your mouth to God’s ears. I’d like to be proven wrong.
But, but, but… I’m not saying that “nothing ever changes”. I observe that Mr. Trump is part of leftard & progsy swimming haul. He is part of the problem, and not the bringer of a solution. With him, nothing will change. Or, something will change… eventually. Without him.
It seems to me that Americans, and the rest of the world, will have to wait for the real solution for Globo-Homo Empire’s Forever Wars. The Swamp, or Deep State as Anglos call it, was even under Mr. Trump’s senile predecessor reasonable enough to pull out from Afghanistan. On the contrary, Mr. Trump and his cronies are bringing us all closer and closer to open war with nuclear and industrial superpower(s).
“Us” is “The Collective West” AKA “the Empire of Lies”, as current Russian Emperor said.
For the first time ever, I really do consider nuclear war as a real possibility, because in past times, leftist lunacy was usually solved by military defeat and occupation of asylum country by foreign powers, beginning from France 1815. Who can occupy the USA? No one. Ergo, nukes will probably fly. You know:
“We need just a wee little bit of nukes to finally, finally, finally… topple Putin. Just a few nukes and there will be Victory Gay Parade in both Moscow and Kiev, Mr. President”.
1350 state department employees laid off looks like huge news to me, and a good indication of cessation of the empire program, which means weapons to the Ukraine are more nominal than substance
Trump charisma/rhetoric wizardry is a specialist talent. ‘It’s Biden’s war, we helped the best we could, but they should have a made a deal’ could well be a better situation than whatever rebuttal he would make for a Stab-In-The-Back narrative
Jim (or anyone else for that matter): what’s your estimate as to the KIA for each side for the first half of the year?
Most Russian KIA are killed by drones. Since the Ukraine is fighting a media war, and actual combat victories are secondary to media victories, I would say the people who count up drone footage probably have near the right number, in which case I vaguely recall a figure of something like seven thousand. That is probably the wrong number, but the right number is also not very large.
Ukrainian KIA: They are conscripting thirty thousand a month, and their army is obviously shrinking at an alarming rate, so a fair bit more than thirty thousand a month.
Kursk was roughly comparable casualties on both sides. The greatest Ukrainian counter offensive was completely one sided, with enormous casualties on the Ukrainian side, and rather small Russian casualties.
The early unsuccessful Ugledar and Avdiivka Russian offensives resulted in the Russians suffering much greater casualties than the Ukrainians, because Russian high command did not understand drone warfare and was reluctant to accept that drones changed everything, but since then it has mostly been smooth sailing for the Russians and a nightmare for the Ukrainians.
Most Russian casualties have been the result of stubbornly persisting in stupid tactics made obsolete by drone warfare. Russia is a stubborn student, but war is a harsh teacher. Most Ukrainian casualties are the result of fighting for Power Point bullet points for tomorrow’s Washington presentation, rather than for victory in a war of attrition.
For example it is completely obvious that the Ukrainians should establish a fortified line about thirty kilometers back from their current positions, because the Russians have overrun all the fortifications that they have been building since 2014, and then withdraw back to that prepared position, but that would look really bad on a Power Point presentation.
Jim, above you said,
Can you elaborate on this? Why easier after the New York election?
Thermidor is leftists who want their unprincipled exceptions back. After the New York election, they are going to be worrying about the left killing them, which makes sterner measures possible.
The shills have been pushing the line that it is all the Jews fault (And therefore the while left is OK) or it is all the Mohammedans fault, and we need holy war now against Mohammedans. (And therefore the while left and the forever war Jews are OK) With the new Mayor New York, Thermidor will be OK with sterner measures against those holier than themselves.
The Mayor is a converged post Muslim (supports gay marriage and transition, including funding for transitioning unaccompanied minor illegal immigrants, which the Biden regime handed over to one of their pet cartels) But he still supports Jihad. The left is edging closer to starting civil war when they are in a position such that success is unlikely. It will be easier to arrest the Mayor of New York for the crimes he will commit than it is to arrest Newscum and the Mayor of New York for the crimes they have been committing. But once he is convicted, we have a precedent.
Nobody is arresting the mayor of NYC. Thermidor won’t fear getting murdered by the Lefter-than-thou until it actually happens: that’s why they’re Thermidor and not extremist white-supreeeemist far ultra alt-rightists. Trump will bumble through his remaining term, accomplishing nothing; the permanent government will remain permanent; the Dems will win the Presidency again in 2028. Nobody has the stomach nor the vision to do what it would take to arrest the slide into Brazil Norte. Things will keep getting worse until the system can no longer sustain itself; only then will improvement be possible. Sadly, it’s probably a long, long way away; Brazil Sul is chugging along, seemingly stable, so there’s a lot of tolerance for things to get worse.
When Trump cut Harvard funding, and when Ice raided that Marijuana farm, they made a good start on arresting the slide into Brazil Norte.
It is still a long way to go, but when the One Big Beautiful Bill funded the expansion of Ice into world military power capable of taking on any nation outside the top ten, which is to say take on the cartels, there is the muscle to stop the slide into Brazil Norte.
Come the civil war, the tip of the spear for the Democrats will be the cartels, as we saw in the Ice raid on the Marijuana plantation, to which the Mayor of New York will attempt to add the jihadis. We have a bigger spear.
The mayor is post Muslim. I don’t think the Jihadis will buy it.
If Democrats can commit illegal acts, but Maga goes to jail for twenty years for illegal acts, we lose. We have to start jailing them, because they have been jailing us.
It will likely escalate to assassinations, whereupon we must break out the black helicopters.
>If Democrats can commit illegal acts, but Maga goes to jail for twenty years for illegal acts, we lose.
That’s exactly right. We will lose. We have been losing for 250 years straight.
What’s the best predictor of future behavior? Past behavior.
Thanks for your response. I look forward to watching, from a comfortable distance, the circus that this guy will unleash in New York.
(He seems to be observing California and going “That’s awesome! We need to be like that!”)
The West will continue to be outbred outresourced and outgunned.
Your children will grow up in shithole, because all of the West is becoming one giant filthy shithole.
What you think of that Jim?
Only if you guys win. Right now, you are losing. Trans is being rolled back, illegal mass migration is being rolled back, Socialism is not getting off the ground.
Once the left finds there is no forward path to ever lefter, it dies. All Havels Greengrocers discover that they not only never believed in all that stuff, they hated it. And then, once the left loses its spirit, next up is gay, and after gay feminism.
Once feminism goes away, the West will outbreed and out resource the rest.
Jim already has one foot out the door and is prepared to be just about anywhere it is physically possible to be should the leftist spiral in bloody shithole, as opposed to just shithole, kicks off. In your shoes, I would be more concerned about myself. I doubt you have the ability to escape the gulag.
The longer-term question is what happens after Ukraine loses. If the West still hosts millions of Ukrainian refugees, and this will be true at minimum in countries like Canada where Ukrainians have a lot of political heft, how will those refugees react to this defeat? Especially since many Ukrainians with military and specially drone experience will also seek to flee to the West.
Proposal: That (refugee flow + expertise + need for $ with the spigots turned off + culture of crime & corruption) is likely to forge Ukrainian communities into extremely capable and motivated hubs of organized crime.
Option: If they are hostile to Globohomo because of perceived betrayal, they will form a very dangerous “white” ethnicity, with strong supply lines ad unofficial violence capabilities that can bypass the proposed control Grid of omni-surveillance.
Option: The opposite pole is that they continue to be Globohomo’s janissaries, carrying out anti-white repression, pogroms, and other functions in their new hosts return for financial support (jobs).
What other options and futures do you guys see?
—-
For Moderation Policy: It is well-established that races are not equal in mean IQ. It is argued that because of this, not only is equal achievement between them impossible, but long-term co-existence on an equal basis can become unworkable, because mean IQ makes a tremendous difference to the kind of society you are able to have. One proposed corollary is that freedom of association to sustain local ethnic boundaries is required at minimum. If the larger argument is true, then incompatible populations that grow large enough will require re-migration, or separate nations with separate territories, as the only stable long-term solutions that avoid subjugation (vid. DEI) or ethnic cleaning (vid. Compton) of one group or the other.
I don’t think future Ukrainian refugee flow is going to be significant.
If no peace settlement, nearly all the men will be dead, if a frozen conflict “peace” settlement, they are unlikely to open the borders and let the remaining cannon fodder escape, and if an actual peace settlement, there will probably be more returning than leaving.
I don’t know how many of you were old Alt-Righters before Charlottesville (myself not included), but I remember at least one comment here mentioning Walt Bismarck, who had made White Nationalist parody songs based on Disney numbers before his account got banned. He has now relocated to Substack https://substack.com/@waltbismarck?r=5rbkk1&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=profile where he mostly spends his bandwidth on a number of things including harebrained political proposals, cocktail-napkin race anthropology and his obsession with Jewish pussy. As you may tell from the link, he has since self-doxxed as one Jeremy Ryan, based in Florida (although he hopes to legally adopt his internet moniker). However, one thing he is doing seems noteworthy enough to mention to all of you: A kind of based professional mafia called the Tortuga Society.
https://www.waltbismarck.com/p/bismarcks-buccaneers?r=5rbkk1&utm_medium=ios&triedRedirect=true
According to Walt, the Tortuga gang organizes with each other to ‘job stack’ – that is, to ‘work’ various remote bullshit tech jobs at different companies simultaneously to earn multiple times the salary that one job alone would bring. Walt’s plan is to channel this money into various pursuits such as:
– Retiring the members’ wives from work
– Doxxing Antifa members
– Starting an independent bank to finance political organization
– Funding ‘based’ arts and culture
Their operating website is here: https://www.tortugasociety.biz/
This whole idea intrigues me, especially compared to the stillness seen throughout much of the rest of the right. So much of our lives and institutions are captured by the left right now, and history seems to be walking a tense tightrope based on the actions of Trump and his crew. Walt’s kind of operation here might be a way to build an independent base of fashion (leading to power and culture) while the left is too bureaucratic and bloated to act, while at the same time providing a flexible network of finance outside the systems of the State – perhaps cryptocurrency experience could be of use here? However, one could point out that the Society’s mercantile, big-tent ideological priors could make it vulnerable to Fed infiltration – their leadership all seem to have a clear mutual vision, but much the same could be said of past organizations now run out of Washington. Obviously a total, hot civil war in the Lower 48 tomorrow will make all this into so many castles in the sand, but in a stable, frozen environment this kind of institution-building may be worth contemplating. I think both our ecosystems could benefit from each other’s presence, given of course that a shared assumption of good faith is held to by all.
Walt himself would likely be, by the standards of this blog, barbershop-pilled – having sharply contrasting areas of red and blue. These are some takes I have found to be Jimian in tenor:
– This take on the Woman Question https://www.waltbismarck.com/p/agency-adultery-and-anora?r=5rbkk1&utm_medium=ios&utm_campaign=audio-player (timestamp 50:30)
– This essay (title says it all) https://open.substack.com/pub/newaltright/p/all-sex-is-rape?r=5rbkk1&utm_medium=ios
– Also this one https://open.substack.com/pub/newaltright/p/in-defense-of-hitting-women?r=5rbkk1&utm_medium=ios
– Sided against Musk when the H1B fiasco happened (not by him but a cross-post) https://open.substack.com/pub/bradalonius/p/h1-b-a-tech-bro-perspective?r=5rbkk1&utm_medium=ios
– Has a remarkably different picture of Ukraine but comes down far more balanced than 99% of Thermidor https://www.waltbismarck.com/p/russia-the-red-pill-and-intercultural?r=5rbkk1&utm_medium=ios&utm_campaign=audio-player (timestamp 37:33)
If there is one thing that really goes against the grain of this blog, it is probably his tendency to propose short-term Clever Plans that could make sense in isolation (move the US capital to the Midwest, make marriage contracts privatized, Tortuga itself, etc.) but does not really put forth a unifying framework or Faith around which these Clever Plans can function. But perhaps some of this Cleverness could be of use to us now, while there is time to build.
But what say you, poasters of Jim’s Blog?
As the left moves ever lefter, any clever short term plan, should it actually work, is going to get Charlottesville, or Waco treatment.
All these clever plans presuppose the state is able and willing to protect them. And if a state able and willing to protect them, we don’t need clever plans.
Or as Mencius Moldbug would say, coup complete problem.
The clever plans would make sense assuming Thermidor remains in power for a long time. It could remain in power for a long time, but I think not. Unless we get a young Thermidorean dictator who remains in power for a long time. It is going to break right or left.
As leftism attempts to go ever lefter, a revolutionary crisis approaches. California is in insurrection, except that no one wants guns firing, and no one wants to say “Insurrection” yet. New York is about to be in insurrection. Either leftism succeeds, or it dies. If leftism dies, the clever plans become unnecessary. If leftism succeeds, suicidal.
I think you summarize it well. Looks a little bit grifty, but hey he’s taking more action than most people.
Then again, doxxing yourself voluntarily is a tricky tricky thing. I’d want a much higher ensurance of security than he seems to be giving. All the usual criticisms apply: where’s the faith, what’s his defence against shills, why is he accepting women.
“It is a mitzvah that one should not betroth his daughter while she is a minor, rather until she has grown and can say “I want so and so” [Note: There are those who say that it is customary in this time to betroth our minor daughters since we are in exile and there is not always sufficient money for the dowry and also we are few in number and we are not always able to find a worthy match (Tosaphot) and thus is the practice].”
Source: https://www.sefaria.org/Shulchan_Arukh%2C_Even_HaEzer.37.9?lang=bi&with=all&lang2=en
It seems the Talmud considers jimian patriarchy to be problematic.
Dear Jim, dear Gentlemen,
Is it still believed around here what Yarvin said once, that politics is not downstream from culture, culture is downstream from real Power? Can we run a case study on marijuana?
Marijuana looks a lot like “cool” people can cause cultural changes despite power/laws. “Cool” hippies started to make it culturally accepted, even “cooler” Bob Marley gave a bigger push for it being culturally normalized, and then already 30 years ago every “cool” kid who did not want to be like their “boring” parents in my neck of Europe considered it entirely normal. This does not seem to prove the case.
But perhaps if we see it more broadly, it does. Meaning, that Power does not change the culture, but the metaculture one level up. Power did not make marijuana in itself “OK”, but Power made it “OK” that kids should respect some Jamaican nogger third-rate musician more than their fathers, the police, or judges. What do you think? Makes more sense this way?
This way of seeing this, Power -> metaculture, like, “nogger things > your father” as the modern metaculture, then, metaculture -> culture, like “marijuana is cool”, this is more defensible, I think. Power did not want marijuana. They wanted a nogger cult. And noggers like marijuana. That’s how I would see it.
>Trump says Ukraine ‘shouldn’t target Moscow’ after reportedly asking Zelensky about striking Russian capital
So these assholes are even crazier than the biden assholes. What a shock. Also trump aparently believes he’s going to bully the Russians. Fucktard.
https://nypost.com/2025/07/15/world-news/trump-asked-zelensky-about-striking-moscow-making-putin-feel-the-pain-report/