I seldom report on the latest news of the day, because there are loads of people covering it with intense attention, most of them far better informed on details of the latest events than I am, which noise tends to drown out the perspective that enables one to see what is happening over the longer time scale. Today’s events are far better understood from a perspective that sees them as …
Tag: Ukraine war
The Russian invasion of the Ukraine is a just war
This post stolen wholesale from this excellent comment According the Christian doctrine of Bellum Iustum, just war, just war requires Jus Ad Bellum, the right to go to war. Jus In Bello, Justice in War. jus post bellum, Just ending of the war. Jus Ad Bellum requires: Auctoritas competens, right authority. You need a sovereign who can make peace or war, and if he says “war” everyone in his ingroup …
Delusion and end of the Ukraine war
If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle. Hello? The west has been succumbing in every battle. A deal should have been made in July 2023 when it …
State of the war
Wars happen because some people expect one outcome, and others expect a different outcome. So prediction is hard, for if it was easy, the war would likely have been avoided, though as the war goes on, and on, and on, becomes easier. Due to fog of war, hard to know what is happening now, or has happened recently, But after a while, it becomes obvious what did happen, which gives …
Ukraine war is over. The killing and dying may continue for some time
War is a test of will and capability. The test has been performed, and the result is apparent, and now is apparent to everyone. The Global American Empire GDP is fake and gay, created by fraudulently manipulating cpi figures, and consisting of the magic paper wealth of the FIRE economy of the blue state megalopoli. Russian production of drones and shells is many times greater than the entire production of …
Future war
Airsea power is going down. After ever increasing efforts to keep their fleet in Sebastopol, the Russians are finally pulling their fleet back, despite clear and overwhelming airsea dominance over Ukraine. If the Russians are pulling their fleet back from Sebastopol, US airsea bases ringing China are just hostages. Drone warfare has become dominant, and is rapidly becoming more dominant, rendering grunts trudging through mud increasingly irrelevant. In future war …
A retraction
I predicted that Trump would be arrested and Epsteined. With defeat looming in the Ukraine, the future course becomes even more unpredictable. Looking at those in power as the Greatest Ukrainian Counter Offensive fails underneath them, I have no idea what the future holds, and I doubt that they do either. But we are no longer on the course that we were on a week ago. Putin cured Covid. When …
Possible outcomes of war in the Ukraine
Both sides have been fighting in the Ukraine using World War I tactics, and developments in the war have so far recapitulated World War I. Towards the end of World War I, the Germans, finally realizing they were going to lose the war of attrition, because of the immense industrial capability of America, attempted to regain war of movement, with underwhelming success, and eventually could no longer attempt to do …
The Great Ukrainian Counter Offensive
Normally I do not report on or respond to the day’s news. This blog is about what the news of decade or a century ago turned out to mean. And no end of people are reporting on the day’s news, most of whom have researched it far more thoroughly than I am willing to do. But, prematurely, I am going to report on what this offensive seems to have turned …
Current events
This blog does not normally report, nor pay much attention to, current events, except as they illustrate the long sweep of history. But, there is a bunch of stuff happening now. Four demons doing a weak-ass imitation of the the four horsemen of the apocalypse are on their way. First and foremost for me is that the heat on crypto currency is going up, and it looks like the blood …